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No. 2 Oklahoma hosts No. 11 West Virginia in Big 12 clash
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 1/15/2016  at  5:10:00 PM
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WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (15-1, 4-0 Big 12)

at OKLAHOMA SOONERS (14-1, 3-1 Big 12)

Lloyd Noble Center - Norman, OK
Tip-off: Saturday, 4:00 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma -6.5

No. 11 West Virginia tries to knock off the country's top-two teams in the same week when it visits No. 2 Oklahoma on Saturday.

The Mountaineers (8-5 ATS) are still riding high after Tuesday's 74-63 win over No. 1 Kansas, which gave them eight straight wins, but are facing a Sooners team (7-6 ATS) whose only SU loss all season came in triple overtime at Kansas on Jan. 4. Since that cruel defeat, they have won two straight games over Kansas State and Oklahoma State, but failed to cover the spread for either contest. These teams have split the past four meetings with the home team winning and covering each time. After West Virginia coasted to an 86-65 win last Jan. 13, Oklahoma returned the favor three weeks later with a 71-52 trouncing in Norman. The Mountaineers have scored 90.0 PPG in their three true road games this season, all SU wins, but are just 1-2 ATS in these contests. They are also destroying teams when playing on at least three days' rest at 8-0 SU (4-2 ATS) with a beefy +30.9 PPG margin. However, the Sooners are crushing teams by 21.5 PPG at home, where they are 8-0 SU, but are only 3-3 ATS at Lloyd Noble Center. While they haven't lost yet as a favorite this season (11-0 SU), they are just 5-6 ATS when giving points.

Can West Virginia pull off the huge road upset on Saturday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts Best Bets throughout the season. StatFox Brian has a 70% ATS mark (14-6) in the past four weeks, while StatFox Gary is catching fire with a 70% ATS (7-3) record over the past two weeks.

West Virginia has excelled in many facets this season with 85.3 PPG (10th in D-I) on 47.0% FG (54th in nation), but this is not a good outside shooting team (31.3% threes, 295th in D-I) and it doesn't cash in from the foul line either (66.3% FT, 264th in nation). However, the Mountaineers are always attacking the glass with a +11.2 RPG margin (7th in nation) and 17.2 offensive RPG (2nd in D-I), and generate a big chunk of their offense from a heavy pressing defense nicknamed "Press Virginia.” It leads the nation in both steals (11.4 SPG) and forced turnovers (20.9 TOPG). The team allows only 63.4 PPG (22nd in D-I) on 41.7% FG (118th in nation), and limits opponents to a mere 27.3% threes (6th in D-I). The offense is very balanced with five players averaging at least nine points per game, but nobody is scoring more than 15 per contest. F Devin Williams (14.7 PPG, 8.8 RPG) is the go-to scorer with 53% FG and 74% FT, and has tallied at least 12 points and six boards in each of his past three games (14.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG). Williams didn't play in Norman last season, but he controlled the paint in the home win over the Sooners with a double-double (14 points and 11 rebounds). Senior G Jaysean Paige (13.4 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.4 SPG) is shooting 51% FG and 39% threes this season, and was the hero on Tuesday with 26 points (6-of-13 FG, 14-of-17 FT), five steals and four rebounds in the win over No. 1 Kansas. Lightning-quick guards Jevon Carter (12.6 PPG, 3.1 APG, 1.9 SPG) and Daxter Miles Jr. (11.5 PPG, 2.1 SPG) are both outstanding at taking the ball away, but Carter is a much better shooter (39% threes) from long range than Miles (28% threes). Carter dropped 18 points (4-of-6 threes) off the bench in the home win versus Oklahoma last season, but was held to five points in the loss in Norman. F Jonathan Holton (9.3 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 1.0 SPG) provides more muscle down low, with at least eight boards on nine separate occasions this year. Holton also pulled down 14 rebounds (5 offensive) in only 38 minutes in the series with the Sooners last season.

Oklahoma has some similarities to its Saturday opponent, as the team averages a hefty 87.3 PPG (3rd in D-I) on 47.9% FG (37th in nation), but unlike the Mountaineers, the Sooners drain an impressive 46.1% threes (2nd in D-I). They also crash the boards with ferocity, as they lead the nation in defensive rebounds (32.4 per game) and hold a +7.0 RPG margin (30th in D-I). Although the defense allows a pedestrian 71.1 PPG (175th in nation), it does so on low shooting rates of 38.3% FG (19th in D-I) and 30.6% threes (31st in nation). Oklahoma is tough in the paint with 5.9 blocks per game (10th in D-I), but the school forces only 11.4 turnovers per game (305th in nation). The Sooners’ offense revolves around superstar G Buddy Hield, who is averaging 26.6 PPG (2nd in nation) with 5.7 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.3 SPG. He shoots an eye-popping 52% threes (4th in D-I) and 90% FT (13th in nation), and netted 21 points in both meetings with West Virginia last season on 14-of-26 FG (54%) and 8-of-14 threes, while also adding 13 rebounds. Amazingly, Hield is not even the best long-range shooter on his team, as G Jordan Woodard (15.3 PPG, 3.7 APG, 3.7 RPG) is making 55% threes (3rd in D-I) and 85% FT, which ranks third-best in the Big 12 Conference. Woodard was a non-factor in the loss at Morgantown last season (6 points, 3 assists in 28 minutes), but against WVU in Norman, he tallied 12 points (3-of-5 FG, 6-of-7 FT), five rebounds and three assists. He did commit six turnovers, however. The other two main scorers for the Sooners are G Isaiah Cousins (12.1 PPG, 4.7 APG, 4.3 RPG, 1.3 SPG) and F Ryan Spangler (11.2 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 2.3 APG). Cousins has 11 games of 10+ points this season, but has been in a major shooting funk since Christmas, where he has made only 26% FG (15-of-58) and 5-of-21 threes (24%) in the past five games. Cousins had 14 points, but also five turnovers, in the loss at West Virginia last season. He finished with 10 points and zero turnovers in the home win. Spangler has racked up six double-doubles in his senior season and has been unselfish with four assists in each of his past two contests. Although Spangler is making a career-best 43% threes, he is also shooting a career-low 59% from the foul line. In last season's series with West Virginia, Spangler averaged a solid 10.0 PPG and 6.5 RPG.


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