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Red-hot Warriors host Rockets Wednesday
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox
Published: 1/21/2015  at  11:35:00 AM
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HOUSTON ROCKETS (29-13)

at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (33-6)

Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:30 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -7.5, Total: 217.5

The Houston Rockets hit the road for their first of three straight road games when they take on the Golden State Warriors this Wednesday night.

Despite changing their rotation a multitude of times and dealing with injuries to key players, the Rockets have been able to put together a great campaign and come into this one as SU and ATS victors in six of their past eight contests. Their offense has gone crazy in that time with 109.5 PPG as they have shot better than 47% from the field in five of the games. Houston once again put together a dominant effort when it hosted the Pacers as 10-point favorites on Monday night in a 110-98 game where they hit 37-of-72 shots (51.4% FG). The Warriors have done a great job of taking something that was good and making it better as they’ve rattled off SU wins in 10 of their last 11 attempts and have not lost at home since November 11th (16 games). Over their last 11 contests they have been able to go 8-3 ATS as they are scoring an incredible amount of points (117.8 PPG) and have hit 50% or more of their shots six times. They earned the most lopsided victory of the year in their most recent bout with the Nuggets as they dismantled Denver by a score of 122-79 as 14.5-point favorites while making 54.3% of their attempts and out-rebounding their opponents 53-39. Overall the Rockets have done well on the road with a 13-6 SU record (10-9 ATS), but will have little chance at grabbing a win with Golden State going a near flawless 18-1 SU (14-4-1 ATS) at home. These high-octane offenses have already met three times this season with the Warriors going a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS as they defeated Houston by an average of 16.0 PPG. They have not always been as dominant and over the last three seasons, these clubs have split 10 games both SU and ATS. Some trends to keep an eye on in this one include that the Rockets are 29-14 ATS (67%) after a non-conference game in the past two seasons as Golden State has gone 11-1 ATS (92%) off a home win scoring 110 or more points this year. Each team will be missing a big man for this matchup with PF Terrence Jones (Leg) out for Houston and C Festus Ezeli (Ankle) out for the host Warriors.

Which team will prevail on Wednesday night? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2014-15 season. StatFox Forecaster has a strong 55% ATS record (107-86-1) in featured games this season. In terms of Best Bets, the experts have a stellar 67% ATS (45-22) record since Jan. 2, led by StatFox Scott, who is a sizzling 71% ATS (15-6) in Best Bets since Dec. 21, improving his record to 56% ATS (34-27) for the season. StatFox Brian is 62% ATS (24-15) in Best Bets since Nov. 29, and is now 56% ATS (34-27) in season Best Bets, while StatFox Gary is 69% ATS (9-4) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 1, and 57% ATS (34-26) this season. StatFox Zach is 71% ATS (10-4) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 2, while StatFox Dave is 58% ATS (7-5) since Jan. 2.

Houston started out the year a little slow on the offensive end but has picked it up in a big way and rank eighth in the league with 102.6 PPG behind 44% shooting (8th-worst in league). On the other side of the ball, they have allowed their opposition to score 98.4 PPG (11th in league) as they hit 44.2% of their shots (9th in league). SG James Harden (27.1 PPG, 6.7 APG, 5.6 RPG, 1.9 SPG) has the ability to carry this team on his back and did so with a season-high 45 points on 12-of-18 shooting against the Pacers on Monday night. He also added four steals and seven assists in the victory and will hope to do better against the Warriors this time than he has over the previous three meetings this year; where he averaged 22.7 PPG (39% FG), 6.0 RPG, 5.0 APG and 2.3 SPG. C Dwight Howard (17.0 PPG, 11.2 RPG, 1.5 BPG) has two big double-doubles in his last two performances but has averaged just 0.7 BPG over 11 January games. He’s faced Golden State just once this year and put forth a big effort (23 points, 10 rebounds) in Saturday’s contest against them. SF Trevor Ariza (12.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG) continues to struggle from long range as he has made a mere 5-of-17 threes (29% 3PM) over the past three games and has scored just 8.0 PPG over his last two. He has been horrible in his three outings against the Warriors on the year, averaging 10.7 PPG (28% FG) and 6.7 RPG.

The Golden State offense seems to just keep getting better and better as they are scoring the most points in the league (110.3 PPG) while shooting the ball with deadly accuracy (48.7% FG, best in league). Where they have really improved upon is defensively as they are giving up 98.6 PPG (12th in league) behind 42.1% shooting (best in league). PG Stephen Curry (23.2 PPG, 8.0 APG, 4.8 RPG, 2.1 SPG) has 20+ points in 7-of-9 January contests and is shooting an incredible 53% from the floor in that time. He crushed Houston for 27 points, 11 assists, seven rebounds, three steal and a block in Saturday’s win and has done well overall (27.0 PPG, 7.7 APG, 7.7 RPG, 2.3 SPG) in the three games against them this year. SG Klay Thompson (21.7 PPG, 1.2 SPG, 1.0 BPG, 45% 3PM) has made 15-of-30 threes over the past five games and recorded a season-high five blocks to go with 27 points when the Warriors put a beatdown on the Rockets this past Saturday. He didn’t do well in the other two meetings, though; making just 11-of-34 shots (32% FG) as he averaged 16.0 PPG. SF Draymond Green (11.5 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 1.4 BPG) has seen his production dip in the past five games with 8.6 PPG and 5.0 RPG and has gone for 12.0 PPG (48% FG), 6.7 RPG, 2.7 SPG and 1.0 BPG against Houston in three games this season.


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