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No. 18 Duke seeks payback in Miami on Wednesday
By: Robert Livingston - StatFox
Published: 1/22/2014  at  4:47:00 AM
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BankUnited Center - Coral Gables, FL
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Line: Duke -5

Still seeking its first true road win this season, No. 18 Duke heads to Miami where it got drubbed last season.

The Blue Devils fell 90-63 to the Hurricanes in Coral Gables last season, but at 2-3 SU (3-2 ATS) in conference play this year, this is a much weaker Miami team this season. The 'Canes have lost both of their ACC home games to Virginia Tech and Florida State and are just 4-4 SU (1-4 ATS) at home this season. However, they are coming off a strong 56-42 road win at Georgia Tech on Saturday, and over the past two seasons are 17-3 ATS (85%) coming off a double-digit victory. Although Miami is a mediocre 6-7 ATS overall this season, the club is 5-2 ATS (4-3 SU) as an underdog. Duke has yet to win an ACC game on the road, losing at Clemson and Notre Dame. In those two games, they were outrebounded by an average of 13.5 RPG. The Blue Devils are 10-8 ATS overall this season, and even though they have failed to cover in two of their past three contests, they have a 15-4 ATS mark (79%) when that has happened over the past two seasons. Although Duke is 12-3 SU in this series since 2005, the Hurricanes are 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series, covering in three straight contests (2-1 SU) against the Blue Devils.

Can Duke win its first conference road game of the season? For the latest college basketball picks, check out The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts selections every week throughout the entire 2013-14 season. The StatFox Experts have been rolling in college basketball Best Bets this season with a 59% ATS (163-112-5) mark, including a stellar 63% ATS (131-78) record since Nov. 23. StatFox Brian is at 61% ATS (33-21-1) in Best Bets for the season and 65% ATS (26-14) since Nov. 26. StatFox Dave is also 61% ATS (32-22-1) for the season and 71% ATS (17-7) since Dec. 18, while StatFox Zach is a strong 59% ATS (32-22-1) on Best Bets this season, including 63% ATS (26-15) since Nov. 22. StatFox Gary is 57% ATS (31-23-2) for the season, and 64% ATS (23-13) since Dec. 3, while StatFox Scott is 58% ATS (33-24) for the season and 61% ATS (23-15) since Dec. 2.

Duke plays an up-tempo brand of basketball, scoring 82.6 PPG (19th in Div. I) on a 48.4% shooting clip (28th in nation) with 15.5 APG (35th in Div. I). Impressively, Mike Krzyzewskiís squad is hitting 9.2 threes per game (8th in Div. I) on a strong 41.4% clip (10th in nation), while turning it over only 9.6 times per game (7th fewest in nation). Freshman PF Jabari Parker (19.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG) leads the team in scoring and rebounding, and is coming off a game against NC State in which he scored 23 points on 7-of-14 FG (2-of-2 threes). That ended a funk of five games in which he averaged only 10.8 PPG on 32% FG (5-of-21 threes). Like Parker, 6-foot-8 SF Rodney Hood (17.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG) has size and plays on the perimeter, hitting 2.1 threes per game on a 46% clip. He started off conference play with 24.7 PPG in his first three games, but has just 12.5 PPG in the past two ACC games. Helping those two rebound down low is sophomore C Amile Jefferson (6.6 PPG, 6.8 RPG), who accumulates those numbers in only 19.0 MPG. His boardwork has increased to 9.6 RPG in ACC play. PG Quinn Cook (13.1 PPG, 5.7 APG) paces the team in passing and importantly only coughs up the rock 1.9 times per game (3.0 Ast/TO ratio), impressive given the amount he has the ball and his team-high 34.7 MPG. Although Cook was a dreadful 1-for-12 FG in the loss at Miami last season, he still averaged 5.5 RPG and 5.0 APG in the two meetings. Also on the perimeter, SGs Andre Dawkins (8.9 PPG, 45% threes) and Rasheed Sulaimon (8.4 PPG, 49% threes) are both shooting very well from downtown. Sulaimon was Duke's high scorer in its loss at Miami last season with 16 points and four steals

The Hurricanes have struggled on offense all season, scoring a pithy 62.4 PPG (335th in Div. I) on 42.2% FG (281st in nation) and 31.9% threes (274th in Div. I). Senior SG Rion Brown (14.1 PPG, 6.4 RPG) is the team's only double-digit scorer, hoisting 5.1 threes per game and hitting 1.6 per game (32% threes). He scored just seven points (1-for-7 FG) over 33 minutes in last season's two games against Duke as a reserve. But in his past three contests, Brown has a lofty 17.3 PPG on 51% FG (9-of-20 threes). Senior SG Garrius Adams (9.8 PPG) joins him in the backcourt, though he has been quiet with only 6.2 PPG on 11-of-39 FG (28%) in the teamís past five contests. His 2.8 APG and 1.6 SPG lead the team, but he carries a pedestrian 1.5 Ast/TO ratio. Six-foot-9 senior PF Donnavan Kirk (9.9 PPG, 6.7 RPG) will look to shut Parker down in the paint, averaging a team-high 2.2 BPG. Heís averaging 17.5 PPG on a blistering 78% FG (14-of-18) over the teamís past two games. Fellow big man PF James Kelly (7.8 PPG, 4.6 RPG) joins him down low, with both members of the duo hitting more than 50% FG for the season. But Kelly's offense has been non-existent in the past three games where he's combined for five points on 1-of-6 shooting.

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