Only one unbeaten team remains in Canadien Football, as Saskatchewan continues to ride high and will host once-beaten Montreal. Calgary and Hamilton will start Week 4 with the Stampeders a decided favorite. Winning and Toronto each have turnaround games seeking revenge against opponents they lost to last week. Though only three weeks into the season, every team that has won the game outright has covered the spread in all 12 contests played. FREE Foxsheet available for Week 4.

Thursday July 17

Hamilton at Calgary (-9, 52)

Maybe Hamilton (1-2 SU &ATS) is more comfortable on the road after losing a second straight home game, this time to Saskatchewan last week. The Tiger-Cats defense has been disappointing in ranking sixth in yards allowed (397.3 per game) and has given up a pair of 33’s in home games. Hamilton is 14-5 UNDER in road games over the last three seasons, losing by an average of 7.5 points a game and they will be without the services of tailback Jesse Lumsden. The CFL’s leading rusher suffered strained knee ligaments and is being held out as precaution by Hamilton coaches.

Calgary (2-1 SU & ATS) pulled off its second upset of the season, beating previously unbeaten Montreal last week 23-19 as 4.5-point road underdogs. The Stampeders run defense has been like a brick wall, with team’s averaging a mere 47 YPG. Henry Burris continues to shine for Calgary and is the league’s top quarterback thus far, running the second most productive offense. The Stamps are 21-7 ATS when they gain 450 to 500 total yards in a game.

Calgary’s a decided favorite nine-point favorite at Bookmaker.com and has won 10 of 12 meeting between these clubs (6-6 ATS). With the Stampeders 44-26 UNDER in home games after playing their last game on the road, the total might be forth a peek as this series has played UNDER eight of last 12 matchups.

Friday, July 18

Winnipeg at British Columbia (-8.5, 52)

One of the oddities of the CFL is back-to-back games against the same teams. With only eight teams, this has to come up during the season; it is just contrarian to those in the lower 48. British Columbia (1-2 SU & ATS) got off the snide and registered first victory, a decisive 42-24 win at Winnipeg. The Lions QB Jarious Jackson put in a complete performance in throwing for 340 yards, as B.C. totaled over 500 yards of total offense. This doesn’t necessarily set up as ideal rematch for British Columbia, who is 3-10 ATS versus brutal defensive teams allowing 430 or more yards a game.

Winnipeg (0-3 SU & ATS) is suffering in almost every way. They are tied for last in points scored, as QB Kevin Glenn tussles to find a rhythm. The defense is last in points allowed and in total defense. It is imperative for the Blue Bombers to have RB Charles Roberts churning. Last season’s leading rusher has been stymied and Winnipeg’s offense suffers. One positive is the Blue Bombers are 6-0 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite.

B.C. is only 7-6 at home against Winnipeg (5-8 ATS) and might be looking ahead to Montreal next week. The Bombers are 17-6 ATS after being out-rushed by 100 or more yards last game and could make this tight.

Saturday, July 19

Montreal at Saskatchewan (-6, 50.5)

Saskatchewan (3-0 SU & ATS) was most impressive last week in defeating Hamilton on the road, without regular starting quarterback Marcus Crandell, who has hamstring injury. Back-up Darian Durant was superb 23-of-32 passing for 339 yards and two touchdowns. The Roughriders are 9-2 ATS in the first half of the season over the last two seasons, largely due to a great defense, that is tops in fewest yards allowed at 334.7 PG.

Montreal (2-1 SU & ATS) has played three surprising games this season, winning two as underdogs and losing only contest as a favorite. Long time Montreal signal caller Anthony Calvillo continues to thrive in passing offense, which is the best in the CFL. Last week, the Alouettes looked to be too impatient, and only ran the ball six times (Was Mike Martz offensive coordinator?). Montreal’s defense is tied with the Roughriders in points allowed at 19 PG and will have to contain Saskatchewan offense, since they are 1-11 ATS when they allow 28 or more points.

Montreal has dominated this series on the road with 9-3 record (6-5-1 ATS), though has lost the last two visits. In spite of two very solid defensive teams meeting, these two squads have played OVER 8 of last 10 times here and the Roughriders are 15-1 OVER in home games after a win by 8 or less points.

Sunday, July 20

Edmonton at Toronto (-3.5, 50.5)

The best defensive team in the CFL last season was Toronto (1-2, SU & ATS) and what a difference a year makes. The Argos are next to last in points allowed (31.7) and total defense (423.7) and dead last against the run at a ridiculous 188.7 YPG. Coach Rick Stubler was the architect of the defense before being elevated to head job. He’ll have to work with his staff to rectify this quickly or almost assuredly, Toronto will fall to 5-18 ATS in July home games.

This conflict will feature another quick turnaround, with these two clubs switching venues. Edmonton (2-1, SU & ATS) hung a 48 on Toronto at home, as they ran the ball right at the Argos for 163 yards and QB Ricky Ray was effective in picking his spots. Edmonton, besides being in bad revenge situation, is 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons.

Toronto is just 6-6 (3-8-1 ATS) at home facing the Eskimos, however is 16-5 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 38 or more points.

StatFox Suggestions: 3-9 ATS