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Bettor's Guide to the Final Four
By: Staff Writer - StatFox
Published: 4/4/2019  at  3:41:00 PM
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Final Four Preview

CBB
Saturday, 04/06/2019
BoardTime
(EST)
TeamsOpenCurrentNotes
801
802
8:49 PMTEXAS TECH
MICHIGAN ST
133.0
-3.0
132.5
-2.5
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN
803
804
6:09 PMAUBURN
VIRGINIA
130.0
-5.0
130.5
-5.5
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN

StatFox Power Ratings


ACC
VIRGINIA 98
TEXAS TECH 98
MICHIGAN ST 96
AUBURN 96

Key Final Four Betting Trends From the FoxSheets

  • MICHIGAN ST is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) this season.
  • TEXAS TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.
  • MICHIGAN ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins this season.
  • VIRGINIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in a post-season tournament game since 1997
  • Bruce Pearl is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a neutral court underdog or pick as the coach of AUBURN.

The NCAA Tournament needed a little time to warm up.

There were a few upsets, some close games and breakout performances, but not the usual wow factor we expect in the early rounds.

Once the bracket hit the Elite Eight, the madness returned to March.

All four games were close, two went to overtime and high-level basketball was played in each region.

And then there were four.

The Final Four is set for this weekend in Minneapolis and if the Elite Eight is any indication, college basketball fans are in for a real treat.

Here's a few things to keep an eye on:

THE TEAMS

Virginia. The Cavaliers were on the ugly side of history last season. They have a chance at major redemption.

Auburn. If you like 3s, the Tigers are your team. The rain `em down and play at a breakneck pace.

Texas Tech. The Red Raiders make every opponent's every offensive possession a struggle for air.

Michigan State. The Spartans are the only team that's been to the Final Four in the last 35 years. They also have Izzo. Tom Izzo.

THE MATCH-UPS

Auburn vs. Virginia. The Tigers fill it up, in transition and from the arc. The Cavaliers shut it down, inside, outside, everywhere. Whichever team's strength is stronger wins.

Texas Tech vs. Michigan State. Both teams get after it defensively. Players on both teams will have plenty of bruises after this one.

STAR PLAYERS

Cassius Winston, Michigan State. The AP All-American is a scorer, a disher, a big-shot maker and always the toughest guy on the court.

Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech. The Big 12 player of the year can shoot, drive, post up smaller guards, facilitate when his team needs it.

Bryce Brown, Auburn. When he gets it going, as he did against Kansas and Kentucky, might as well give up trying to guard him.

De'Andre Hunter, Virginia. He's the Cavaliers Swiss Army Knife. Whatever they need, he's got them covered.

KEY PLAYERS

Kyle Guy, Virginia. Sharpshooter and clutch-shot maker is a big reason the Cavaliers' offense has caught up to their D.

Jared Harper, Auburn. Facilitator, cold-blooded shooter, most confident guy in whatever gym he's in.

Matt Mooney, Texas Tech. Scrappy, tenacious defender, can score in bunches, dashing disher.

Nick Ward, Michigan State. That injured left hand is still bothering him, but the Spartans' big man is a lot to handle.

THE COACHES

Chris Beard, Texas Tech. Coaching in Division II four years ago, he's orchestrated quite a quick Lubbock turnaround.

Bruce Pearl, Auburn. OK, he's had some NCAA run-ins, but there's not much question the man can coach.

Tony Bennett, Virginia. All class all the time, he's the puppet-master of college basketball's best defense.

Tom Izzo, Michigan State. His smarts and intensity always translate in March.

NUMBERS

0-Times before this season Texas Tech and Auburn had reached the Final Four.

8-Times Izzo has coached in the Final Four, including one national championship. The last? 2015.

12-Points per game Auburn will be missing after Chuma Okeke tore his ACL in the Sweet 16. He also averages 6.8 rebounds.

35-Years since Virginia last reached the Final Four.

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More AP college basketball: https://apnews.com/MarchMadness and http://www.twitter.com/AP-Top25

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