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O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 - Apr. 9
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 4/6/2017  at  3:55:00 PM
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Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series
O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

Sunday, Apr. 9 – 1:30 p.m. EDT
Texas Motor Speedway – Fort Worth, TX

Odds to Win Race

(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.ag)

Brad Keselowski will be looking to win back-to-back Monster Energy Cup Series races when the drivers compete in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 on Sunday. The 33-year-old has already won two races this season, and he has placed inside the top five in five straight races. Now he’ll head to Fort Worth, where both Matt Kenseth and Kyle Busch are the only active drivers to have won more than once. Busch is the defending champion coming into this year’s race, and he won behind the wheel of a Toyota last year. It was only the third time a Toyota driver has won this event. Ford is the manufacturer with the most success here, as the company has seen its drivers win this race 10 times. Roush Fenway Racing, meanwhile, is the team with the most success at the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. They have seven wins in this race, which is four more than both Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing, who are tied for second-most wins in this one. With that out of the way, let’s now take a look at who could be winning this one on Sunday:

Brad Keselowski (15-to-2) - As previously mentioned, Keselowski is on fire coming into this race. He has finished inside the top five in five straight races, and that just shows how dominant he is. He is consistently going to be in the running to win races, and that is just too valuable to pass up at this point. At 15-to-2, putting a unit or two on him is a wise decision. It also helps that he has never won this race in his career, so he will be hungry when he gets behind the wheel on Sunday.

Kyle Busch (15-to-2) - Busch is another guy that is getting 15-to-2 odds in this race, and he has a very good shot at winning. Busch was the winner of this race a year ago, finishing in 3:37:16. That time was a little worse than the 3:27:40 he posted in 2013, and he knows what it takes to get the job done in Fort Worth. Look for him to come into this race with a little extra hunger too. He finished in second at last week’s STP 500 and will definitely want to earn his first victory of the year in this one.

Matt Kenseth (18-to-1) - As previously mentioned, Matt Kenseth has won the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 twice in his career. He most recently won it in 2011, but he has had some decent finishes here in the past. Kenseth has finished inside the top 10 twice since then and he has only finished outside the top 20 once. Coming off of a ninth place finish at the STP 500, look for Kenseth to contend once again on Sunday. And at 18-to-1, he’s worth a half-unit or so.

Austin Dillon (50-to-1) - If you’re looking to take a dark horse in this race then Dillon is a guy that could pay out very nicely on Sunday. At 50-to-1, it would only take a quarter-unit or so for this pick to really change the outcome of a week, and Dillon has a good shot in this race. He is driving extremely well right now, as he came in fifth at the STP 500 last week. He has shown some serious improvement this season, and a win should be coming shortly.


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