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Pistons, Warriors battle on Thursday night
By: Sam Chase - StatFox
Published: 1/12/2017  at  11:44:00 AM
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DETROIT PISTONS (18-22)

at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (33-6)

Tip-off: Thursday, 10:30 p.m. ET
Line: Warriors -13, Total: 218

The Warriors only won by six in Detroit last month. Will they blow out the Pistons at home?

After kicking off a West Coast road trip with a 125-124 double-overtime win at Portland on Sunday night (DET +3.5), the Pistons followed up the victory with a 100-94 loss at Sacramento on Tuesday (SAC -3). It was a bitter loss for Detroit, as they led by nine points entering the fourth quarter but were outscored 32-17 in the final frame. They were unable to contain Boogie Cousins, who scored 24 points, grabbed 13 rebounds and handed out six assists. At 18-22 (18-22 ATS), the Pistons are last in the Central Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference, two games out of a playoff spot. They’ll face a significantly tougher challenge than the Blazers or Kings on Thursday night when they step on the floor at Oracle Arena for a game against the Golden State Warriors. Golden State has the best record in the league at 33-6 (16-22-1 ATS), and they are 2.5 games up on the Spurs for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. After squandering a 24-point lead to lose to the Grizzlies last Friday, the Warriors have won two straight games by double digits, most recently beating the Heat 107-95 at home on Tuesday (MIA +14.5). The Warriors have lost six straight games against the spread, and they are 6-14 ATS versus teams with losing records this season. As head coach of Golden State, Steve Kerr is 35-16 Under against the total after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. Detroit PF Jon Leuer is expected to be out for a handful of games with a knee injury.

Detroit ranks 21st in the NBA with an offensive efficiency rating of 106.2 points per 100 possessions. They’re one of the stronger defensive teams in the league, slotting in at seventh with 106.3 points allowed per 100 possessions. At 93.8 possessions per 48 minutes, they play at the fifth-slowest pace of any team. Their leading scorer is PG Reggie Jackson (16.9 PPG, 4.6 APG), who missed the first 21 games of the season with a knee injury. He was treated for dehydration after the Sacramento game Tuesday night—he had played 47 minutes against Portland two days before—but will be all set to play on Thursday. In his last seven games, he’s averaging 21.9 PPG and 6.7 assists. He had 31 on 13-of-26 shooting against the Blazers. SF Tobias Harris (16.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG) is one of two Pistons to play in all 40 of the team’s games this year. He had started to come off the bench, but returned to starting after Leuer’s recent injury. He is averaging 18.6 points per game on 51.9% shooting in January despite only shooting 25% from deep in the month. SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (14.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.3 APG) has stepped up offensively in recent days: In his last three games, he’s averaging 24.3 points on 60% shooting and 14-of-22 three-point shooting. C Andre Drummond (14.7 PPG, 13.4 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 1.3 BPG) is fourth in the league in rebounding and just outside the top 20 in blocks. His stat line from Tuesday looks quiet—he only scored nine points—until you see his season-high seven blocks. Prior to that, he had scored 28 points in back-to-back games. PF Marcus Morris (13.1 PPG, 4.0 RPG) shoots the second-most threes on the team (4.6 per game) but only makes 33.3% of them.

The Warriors narrowly edge the Rockets and the Raptors for the No. 1 spot in offensive efficiency rating, as they score 115.9 points per 100 possessions. They have the best defense in the league, too, just ahead of the Grizzlies and Spurs at 104.2 points allowed per 100 possessions. At 100.4 possessions per 48 minutes, they are the second-fastest team in the NBA. They are led in scoring on the season by SF Kevin Durant (26.0 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 4.6 APG, 1.1 SPG, 1.7 BPG), who is ninth in the league in points per game. He is also 15th in the league in shooting percentage (53.4%) and 18th in rebounding, and second among small forwards in blocks. He is third among SFs in assists, but had his first zero-assist game of the season on Tuesday against the Heat. He is scoring 26.2 points per game in January, putting him behind PG Stephen Curry (24.7 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 5.9 APG, 1.6 SPG), who is averaging 30.2 points this month. Curry’s start to the season has been underwhelming, which is unsurprising considering the untouchable nature of his 2015-16 season and the arrival of Durant. He’s looked like he’s been trying to make a point in the new year, though: He’s shooting 22.6 shots per game in January, significantly up from his season average of 17.4. SG Klay Thompson (21.3 PPG, 3.7 RPG) sat out Tuesday night to rest for the first time this season. He has gone three straight games with less than 20 points after having a streak of four games where he had at least 21. PF Draymond Green (10.9 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 7.5 APG, 2.1 SPG, 1.2 BPG) started off 2017 with a triple-double against the Nuggets on January 2nd, and he continues to be a five-category star. He is third in the league in steals.


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