Alamo Bowl
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX
Kickoff: Saturday, 6:45 p.m. ET
Line: Oregon -7, Total: 73.5

Two of the most potent offenses in the nation will try to outscore each other in the Alamo Bowl in San Antonio when No. 11 TCU takes on a No. 15 Oregon team with six straight wins (5-1 ATS). The Frogs will be severely short-handed, as they will not have the services of either star QB Trevone Boykin (suspension) or top WR Josh Doctson (wrist).

Despite Boykin missing nearly two games this season, the Horned Frogs still averaged 41.7 PPG (8th in FBS) for the season, while the Ducks scored 43.2 PPG (6th in nation) with QB Vernon Adams Jr. hobbled. With Boykin's suspension coming after his arrest early Thursday morning for felony assault on a police offer, either senior QB Bram Kohlhausen or freshman QB Foster Sawyer will start under center. Both teams also have explosive rushers well over 1,000 yards in TCU RB Aaron Green (1,171 rush yds) and Oregon RB Royce Freeman (1,706 rush yds). There are more betting trends favoring the Ducks in this matchup, such as their perfect 7-0 ATS record after two straight double-digit Pac-12 wins in the past two seasons, and their 13-3 ATS mark versus winning teams in this same timeframe. But the Horned Frogs are 14-5 ATS versus good passing teams (58%+ completion pct.) in the past three years, and a perfect 7-0 ATS after having at least one week off in this same timeframe. In addition to Boykin and Doctson not playing, TCU will likely be missing WR Ty Slanina (collarbone), but both DT Aaron Curry and C Joey Hunt have been upgraded to probable from undisclosed injuries. Oregon's only significant injury is S Juwaan Williams (foot), who is questionable for Saturday.

Will the Ducks roll to victory over the depleted TCU roster? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the bowl season.

TCU's offense has mustered only 26.7 PPG and 393 total YPG in the past three games, which is a far cry from the 41.7 PPG and 564 total YPG it has averaged this season, or even the 38.8 PPG on 569 total YPG it has produced on the road (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS). Senior QB Bram Kohlhausen (27-of-43, 369 yds, 8.6 YPA, 3 TD, 1 INT) is the likely starter for Saturday ahead of freshman QB Foster Sawyer (10-of-26, 155 yds, 6.0 YPA, 2 TD, 3 INT). The 6-foot-2, 203-pound Kohlhausen played pretty well at Oklahoma in his last appearance, when he completed 5-of-11 throws for 122 yards (11.1 YPA), 2 TD and 0 INT with most of that coming on an 86-yard touchdown pass to WR KaVontae Turpin. With WR Josh Doctson (1,327 rec yds, 14 TD) sidelined, the freshman Turpin will try to add to his 584 receiving yards and 8 TD this season. The other main pass catcher is 6-foot-1 senior WR Kolby Listenbee (598 rec yds, 20.6 avg, 5 TD), who gained 98 yards at Oklahoma and also had a pair of 100-yard efforts this year. On the ground, senior RB Aaron Green (1,171 rush yds, 5.3 YPC, 10 TD) has racked up 120+ yards on five occasions, but after scoring eight times in his first six games, Jones has found the end zone only twice in his past six contests. The Horned Frogs defense has given up 26.1 PPG on 397 total YPG this season, but those numbers are much worse away from home with 35.7 PPG on 464 YPG. Neither the run-stop unit (183 rush YPG and 4.3 YPC allowed) nor the secondary (214 pass YPG and 6.3 YPA allowed) has been consistently strong this year. Before the unit produced five takeaways in the win over Baylor, it had forced only eight turnovers in the previous nine games combined. That's good news for a Ducks offense that has only six giveaways in its past six contests.

Like TCU, Oregon's potent offense (43.2 PPG on 548 total YPG) has not been nearly as fierce away from home (38.8 PPG on 470 YPG). Oregon runs the football 63% of the time for 288 rushing YPG on a whopping 6.1 YPC. But the team is more than capable of taking to the air with 260 passing YPG on 9.2 YPA and a 64% completion rate. Senior QB Vernon Adams Jr. (65% completions, 2,446 pass yds, 10.2 YPA, 25 TD, 6 INT) has not lost a game since September, and has thrown for 21 TD and only 4 INT during his team's six-game win streak. In the past three contests, he has completed 83%, 80% and 74% of his throws. Junior WR Bralon Addison (775 rec yds, 10 TD) is the No. 1 target and has caught 13 passes for 211 yards and 4 TD in the past two games. The rushing attack is in great shape with sophomore RB Royce Freeman (1,706 rush yds, 6.6 YPC, 14 TD), who has gained at least 100 yards on the ground for eight straight games, and has totaled a hefty 415 yards (314 rush, 101 rec) over the past two contests. It's a good thing the offense has been so effective, because the Ducks defense has been torched for 36.7 PPG on 480 total YPG this season. Being on the field for an average of 33:44 in 2015 has contributed to the massive 179 rushing YPG (4.8 YPC) and 301 passing YPG (7.1 YPA) the unit has allowed. Oregon has forced a solid 21 turnovers this year too, and hopes TCU continues its turnover ways with 11 giveaways in its past four games.