Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: New England -3.0, Total: 46.0

Tom Brady, having already knocked off the Giants, will look for the MetLife Stadium season sweep on Sunday when the Patriots travel back to East Rutherford for an AFC East showdown with the Jets.

New England (12-2 SU, 7-4-3 ATS) maintained their #1 seed in the AFC playoff picture, and clinched a first round bye for the six straight year with a 33-14 victory over Tennessee last week. The Patriots played a well-rounded game, forcing three turnovers—including a fumble returned for a touchdown--, while surpassing 350 total yards for the 13th time this season. New York (9-5 SU, 6-5-3 ATS) picked off Kellen Moore in each of the final three quarters, including the Cowboys’ final drive, to seal a 19-16 road win and remain in a three-way tie with the Chiefs and Steelers in the race for the AFC wild card. New York’s +3 TO margin helped counter balance a rare poor performance from the defense, which allowed 133 rushing yards, the 2nd-most allowed by the Jets this season. Trends for this game swing in New England’s favor, notably due to a massive advantage in the coaching department. While New England holds a 4-1 SU head-to-head advantage since 2013, it’s the Jets who have covered the spread in four of those five games, with one push coming in the two teams’ first meeting earlier this season. Since the 2010 season, Tom Brady is 57-42 ATS overall; he’s also 24-20 ATS in his last 46 road games. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 36-36 ATS overall since 2010; he’s also 17-18 ATS in his last 39 home games. Bill Belichick is 158-115 ATS as NE coach, including a 120-84 mark against the AFC (57-38 against AFC East). He’s 111-92 ATS as the favorite, and 75-52 ATS in road games since taking the helm of the Patriots. The Patriots come in with a laundry list of injuries: LB Jonathan Freeny (wrist), C Bryan Stork (ankle), LB Eric Martin (concussion), TE Scott Chandler (knee), S Devin McCourty (ankle), WR Danny Amendola (knee), S Patrick Chung (hamstring), and WR Julian Edelman (foot) are all questionable. For the Jets, DB Dion Bailey (ankle) is questionable.

Tom Brady and the “next man up” philosophy have continued to pace New England this season. Despite multi-faceted RB Dion Lewis being on IR since the beginning of November, the Patriots are averaging 393.6 total YPG (4th in the league), due in large part to a passing game averaging 302.9 YPG (2nd in league). As usual, Rob Gronkowski will be targeted heavily in this game. Gronkowski has racked up an impressive 11 touchdowns this season and it would have been more if it weren’t for the knee injury he suffered a few weeks back. James White will, however, be a guy to keep an eye on in this one. He has been producing pretty consistently as a pass-catcher out of the backfield for the Patriots and could have a big game on Sunday.

A re-invigorated running attack and defensive prowess have helped lead New York to the cusp of a playoff berth. The Jets are allowing 322.8 total YPG (5th in league), due in large part to their ability to stop the run (82.8 YPG – 2nd in league). One of the keys for the Jets in this game will be that aforementioned running attack: they’ve surpassed 100 yards on the ground seven times this season, and are 6-1 SU and ATS in those games. Ryan Fitzpatrick must also do a good job of taking care of the football in this one. If he can avoid mistakes then the Jets defense should keep the team in the game. A loss on Sunday would make it extremely difficult on New York to make it to the postseason.