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Steelers face inferior Ravens on Sunday
By: Staff Writer - StatFox
Published: 12/23/2015  at  1:29:00 PM
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PITTSBURGH STEELERS (9-5)
at BALTIMORE RAVENS (4-10)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Pittsburgh -10.0, Total: 47.0

With little to no room for error, the Steelers will look to maintain their playoff status Sunday afternoon when they travel to Baltimore for an AFC North showdown with the Ravens.

Pittsburgh (9-5 SU, 8-4-2 ATS) maintained a hold of the second wild card spot with a come-from-behind 34-27 victory over Denver, their 3rd straight win SU and ATS. The Steelers scored the final 24 points of the game, including 14 in the 4th quarter, while allowing just four Broncos’ first downs the entire second half, and forcing an interception that was turned into the eventual winning score. Baltimore (4-10 SU, 3-9-2 ATS) fell to Kansas City, 34-14, officially clinching the team’s 1st 10-loss season since 2007-2008. The Ravens outgained the Chiefs by nearly 100 total yards, but allowed two defensive touchdowns, one fumble return and one pick-six, and finished the game with three turnovers, their sixth straight game with multiple giveaways. Moderate advantages across the board sway the trends in favor of the Steelers. Baltimore’s not-so-magic number is 6; well, 0-6 that is. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in home games this season, 0-6 ATS in December home games dating back to the 2013 season – the Steelers are 6-0 ATS in December games dating back to last season --, and 0-6 ATS when allowing 100-125 rushing yards since the start of last season (they’re allowing 100.4 rushing YPG this season). Ben Roethlisberger is 28-26 ATS since the start of the 2012 season. He’s also 31-30 ATS in his last 62 games as a favorite. Matt Schaub is 7-16 ATS in his last 23 games as an underdog, 1-4 as a home underdog. Mike Tomlin is 21-14 ATS in December games as Steelers head coach, while Baltimore’s John Harbaugh is just 13-18 ATS during his tenure. Tomlin is also 31-21 ATS vs. the AFC North, while Harbaugh is just 21-24 ATS. For the Ravens, CB Jimmy Smith (thigh), WR Marlon Brown (back), LB Albert McClellan (ankle), and CB Kyle Arrington (back) are all questionable. No official injury report for the Steelers had been released at press time.

Pittsburgh has been a well-balanced offensive machine this season. The Steelers are averaging 402.9 total YPG (2nd in the league), 289.7 YPG through the air (5th in the league) and 113.1 YPG on the ground (12th in the league), while scoring 27.0 PPG (T-4th in the league). Antonio Brown’s latest monster performance last Sunday (16 REC, 189 yards, 2 TDs) was his 4th 10+-catch, 8th 100+-yard, 3rd multi-touchdown performance of the season. He’ll now get to face a Ravens defense that is nowhere near as good as Denver’s. He should be able to get open at will and the only thing stopping him from putting up numbers like last week’s would be Pittsburgh taking its foot off the gas.

On a yardage basis, both offensively and defensively, the Ravens have been slightly above average this season, ranking 14th in both total YPG and total YPG allowed. Their success on the scoreboard has been far more limited, as they are 22nd in PPG and 25th in PPG allowed. Perhaps the biggest reason for Baltimore’s inability to score or stop opponents from scoring is turnover differential, which, at -15, is 31st in the league; the team’s four INTs recorded are the fewest in the league. The Ravens are, however, ravaged by injuries. They are down to their second and third string quarterbacks and running backs. They also haven’t had Steve Smith Sr. for a majority of the season now. It would be shocking if they were even able to keep this game close, but Harbaugh is an excellent coach and it’s impossible to rule anything out with him.


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