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Unbeaten Panthers host Redskins on Sunday
By: Staff Writer - StatFox
Published: 11/20/2015  at  5:02:00 PM
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WASHINGTON REDSKINS (4-5)
at CAROLINA PANTHERS (9-0)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Carolina -7, Total: 45

The NFC’s lone unbeaten team will look to keep their perfect season intact on Sunday when the Panthers host the Redskins, who are looking to stay in the thick of a tight division race.

Washington (4-5 SU and ATS) comes in to Week 11 on the heels of its greatest offensive performance in years last week against the Saints. The team’s 47 points were their most since Week 7 of the 2005 season, their 225 rushing yards were their most since Week 7 of the 2012 season, and their 526 total yards were the most since Week 11 of the 1991 season, the same year they went 14-2 and won the Super Bowl. The victory moved them into a tie for 2nd place in the NFC East, just a half-game back of the division-leading Giants. Carolina (9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS) outplayed the Titans last week on their way to a dominating 27-10 victory, holding Tennessee to 242 total yards, the fewest yards allowed by the Panthers’ defense this season. Betting trends heavily favor the Panthers, but recent head-to-head history leans in favor of Washington, as does the early money, as more than 75% of bets are taking Washington to cover the seven-point spread. Washington is 14-27 ATS the last three seasons, 11-22 ATS over that same time frame as an underdog, 5-14 as a road underdog. Panthers head coach Ron Rivera is 25-7 ATS following a road game, including 9-2 ATS over the last two years. Rivera’s history with Carolina against teams below .500 has been highly successful, as he’s 19-9 ATS against such teams since taking over. Washington’s Kirk Cousins is 9-14 ATS in his career, while Cam Newton is 42-31 ATS in his career, including 2-0 against Washington. Historically, Washington is 4-1 ATS in games at Carolina since 1992, and are 39-23 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points in that same time frame. Both teams come into the game mostly healthy. For Washington, reserve WR Andre Roberts (ankle) and starting LB Keenan Robinson (neck/shoulder) are both questionable. For Carolina, both reserve DT Dwan Edwards (ankle) and starting G Andrew Norwell (hamstring) are questionable.

Can the Panthers stay unbeaten with a convincing victory? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2015 regular season and playoffs. This season, the four experts have a 53% ATS collective record (76-68-3) in NFL Best Bets. StatFox Gary is leading the way at 58% ATS (19-14-1) this season, while StatFox Dave is 53% ATS (20-18-1). In terms of NFL Totals, Gary remains profitable this season at 54% (13-11).

Washington’s defense has struggled as of late. After allowing no more than 90 rushing yards in any of their first four games, they’ve allowed at least 150 rushing yards in each of their last five games. They’re currently allowing 135.3 rushing YPG (30th in NFL). Historically, they’re 20-75 ATS when allowing at least 150 yards since 1992. Offensively, Kirk Cousins is going to try to do something close to what he did against the Saints a week ago. He absolutely lit up New Orleans for 324 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions. This Carolina defense is much better, but he should be able to help his team put some points on the board.

Carolina will look to expose Washington’s recent defensive woes early and often; Newton and company enter Week 11 averaging 139.7 rushing YPG (3rd in NFL). The Panthers are 58-17 ATS when rushing for more than 125 yards since ’92, including 5-1 this season. As for the Panthers defense, in terms of yardage, the unit has been good this year, allowing 338 YPG (10th in the league), but it’s been their ability to force turnovers, notably their 14 interceptions (T-1st in NFL) that has helped them hold opponents to just 19.4 PPG (6th in NFL). Cam Newton has had good success against Washington, winning both of their matchups in his career, completing 67% of his passes, while accounting for four TDs (two each passing and rushing) and zero INTs.


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