Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK
Kickoff: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Line: Even, Total: 77.5

No. 6 Oklahoma State tries to remain unbeaten when it hosts No. 10 Baylor on Saturday night.

The Bears are only 5-4 ATS this season after dropping three straight games ATS including their first SU loss last week to Oklahoma, 44-34. The Cowboys are also 5-4 ATS for the season, but are 4-1 ATS over the past five games where they have scored at least 33 points. But the one ATS defeat in this span was a tight 35-31 win at 12-point underdog Iowa State last Saturday. The home team has won the past five matchups in this series, usually in dominating fashion (55-28, 59-24, 41-34, 49-17 and 49-28). But Oklahoma State has historically been the better play in this matchup, going 16-4 SU (15-4 ATS) against Baylor since 1992, including 10-0 SU (9-1 ATS) in Stillwater. Both teams have several positive trends, such as the Bears going 28-14 ATS after scoring 31+ points in two straight games under head coach Art Briles, and the Cowboys posting a 41-20 ATS mark under head coach Mike Gundy when the total is at least 63 points. The injury list is significant for both schools, as Baylor has three defenders questionable in DL Byron Bonds (knee) and DBs Orion Stewart and Alfred Pullom (both undisclosed). Oklahoma State will not have TE Blake Jarwin (ribs), and has four others questionable in DEs Jimmy Bean (knee) and Cole Walterscheid (undisclosed), as well as DBs Ashton Lampkin (hand) and Kevin Peterson (leg).

Can Oklahoma State remain unbeaten against an explosive Baylor offense? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2015 regular season and bowl season.

Baylor has quite a potent offense with 54.8 PPG on 638 total YPG (8.1 yards per play), and the numbers have been just as impressive on the road (54.0 PPG, 642 total YPG, 8.7 yards per play) where the team is 4-0 SU. Offensive balance is key, as the Bears have rushed for a hefty 292 YPG on 6.3 YPC while throwing for a massive 346 YPG on 10.8 YPA. The team lost QB Seth Russell (10.5 YPA, 29 TD, 6 INT) to a season-ending neck injury two weeks ago, but freshman backup QB Jarrett Stidham has actually been better than Russell this season with 11.4 YPA, 11 TD and 2 INT. It certainly helps to have the ability to target WR Corey Coleman, who has caught 61 passes for 1,229 yards (20.1 avg) and 20 touchdowns this year. The other main player for the Bears offense is junior RB Shock Linwood (1,149 rush yds, 7.4 YPC, 9 TD), who has rushed for 100+ yards in six of the past eight games. Linwood also ran for 113 yards on 21 carries (5.4 YPC) and a touchdown in the win over Oklahoma State last year. The Bears defense has performed pretty well in allowing just 27.1 PPG and 402 total YPG (5.1 yards per play), especially considering the unit has been on the field for an average of 34:31. Opponents are running for only 173 YPG on 3.8 YPC while the passing defense is allowing 229 YPG on 6.8 YPA. Baylor has also been great in forcing turnovers with at least two takeaways in seven of nine games, totaling 22 for the season. But its Saturday opponent has just two giveaways in the past four contests combined.

Oklahoma State has managed to stay undefeated with a pass-happy offense that has scored 43.6 PPG on 497 total YPG. The passing game has thrown for 353 YPG on 9.4 YPA while the rushing attack has only 144 YPG on 3.8 YPC. Sophomore QB Mason Rudolph has thrown for 3,161 yards (9.3 YPA), 18 TD and 8 INT this season, including 679 yards, 6 TD and 0 INT over the past two weeks. Sophomore WR James Washington leads the team with 820 receiving yards and 7 TD, with six of those coming in the past four contests. Washington caught four passes for 114 yards (28.5 avg) and a touchdown last year in Waco. On the ground, junior RB Chris Carson (446 rush yds, 4.1 YPC, 4 TD) is coming off one of his better games with 70 yards on 12 carries (5.8 YPC), and will look to help his team gain at least 150 yards on the ground for the fourth time in five contests. Defensively, the Cowboys are giving up only 24.5 PPG on 393 total YPG with both the front seven and back four playing consistent football. Opposing rushers gain a pedestrian 143 YPG on 4.1 YPC while opposing quarterbacks are throwing for 235 YPG on 6.9 YPA. The unit has also helped itself greatly in making plays on the football with at least one takeaway in eight straight games where it has totaled 23 forced turnovers.