Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ
Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: UCLA -3.5, Total: 64

Pac-12 South foes try to stay unbeaten on Saturday night when No. 16 Arizona hosts No. 9 UCLA.

The Bruins nearly suffered their first loss of the season last week when they eked out a 24-23 victory over 16.5-point underdog BYU, while the Wildcats rolled past another easy non-conference foe with a 77-13 victory versus 34.5-point underdog Northern Arizona. UCLA has won three straight meetings in this series (SU and ATS), including a defense-laden, 17-7 victory last November. Going back to 1992, the Bruins hold the slight 12-10 SU advantage (11-10-1 ATS) with the Wildcats being the better wager in Tucson (7-5 SU and ATS). Both schools have plenty of betting trends working against them in this contest, as UCLA benefits from Arizona's 0-6 ATS mark after ATS wins in two of the previous three games in the past three seasons plus Rich Rodriguez's 2-15 ATS record versus good defenses (14 or less PPG allowed) as a collegiate head coach. But the Bruins' negative trends of 11-27 ATS (29%) on the road after 2+ straight wins since 1992 and college football road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG, after 6.25+ yards per play in the previous contest going 17-46 ATS (27%) since 1992, works in favor of the Wildcats. Injuries for this matchup are all on the defensive side of the ball, as UCLA remains without DL Eddie Vanderdoes (knee) and DB Ishmael Adams (suspension), while Arizona won't have star LB Scooby Wright (knee) for the next several weeks, and have three other defenders questionable for Saturday in DL Luca Bruno (concussion), LB DeAndre' Miller (wrist) and CB Kwesi Mashack (hamstring).

Which school will remain unbeaten on Saturday? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2015 regular season and bowl season. StatFox Brian is 57% ATS (8-6) in CFB Best Bets to start the season, including a perfect 3-0 on his weekly lock.

UCLA has displayed a very balanced offense this season with 240 rushing YPG and 237 passing YPG leading to a solid 31.7 PPG average. The team's typical gain is 6.2 yards per play, with 6.4 YPA and 6.1 YPC. Freshman QB Josh Rosen was outstanding in the season opener versus Virginia with 351 yards, 3 TD and 0 INT, but he has struggled mightily in his past two contests where he's completed just 33-of-65 passes (51%) for 329 yards, 2 TD and 4 INT. Rosen does not leave the pocket like his predecessor Brett Hundley who beat the Wildcats last year with both his arm (189 yds, 1 TD) and legs (131 yds, 0 TD). For his team to move the football on Saturday, Rosen needs to improve his accuracy greatly. Rosen has only two 100-yard receivers this season in senior WR Jordan Payton (183 yds, 2 TD) and junior WR Thomas Duarte (108 yds, 1 TD). Payton gave Arizona all kinds of trouble last season with six catches for 119 yards and a 70-yard TD grab to cap the scoring for the day. RB Paul Perkins scored the other touchdown on the ground, as part of a 78-yard day, and he has been UCLA's best offensive player this season with 429 rushing yards (7.3 YPC) and 3 TD plus seven catches for 82 yards. The Bruins defense has been on the field way too much this season (34:48), but has given up only 14.0 PPG because it has limited opponents to a mere 4.4 yards per play, broken down into 3.7 YPC and 5.1 YPA. In last year's win over Arizona, they held the Wildcats to 80 yards on 31 carries while the UCLA offense held the football for 38:09.

Like its Saturday opponent, Arizona has also displayed a very balanced offense this year with 321 rushing YPG on a robust 7.9 YPC, and 264 passing YPG on a solid 7.1 YPA. Despite a meager average time of possession of 25:32, the Wildcats have scored 54.3 PPG, including 28.0 PPG in the first half alone. Sophomore QB Anu Solomon has carved up his inferior opponents with a 68% completion rate for 778 yards (7.5 YPA), 10 TD and 0 INT. Five different receivers already have touchdowns with Solomon's top targets being senior WR David Richards (14 rec, 203 yds, 3 TD) and junior WR Cayleb Jones (11 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD). Solomon has also done a great job of avoiding sacks this year, hitting the deck just four times in three games compared to the 38 sacks he absorbed last season. Three of those sacks came at the hands of UCLA, and the constant pressure was a big reason Solomon had a dreadful afternoon of completing only 18-of-48 passes for 175 yards (3.6 YPA), 1 TD and 1 INT. It also didn't help that his team ran for only 2.6 YPC in that defeat, and the improved ground game will certainly be used more for Saturday's matchup. Sophomore RB Nick Wilson has rushed for 434 yards on 62 carries (7.0 YPC) with 5 TD, while backup QB Jerrard Randall has 209 yards on just six rush attempts (34.8 YPC) with three touchdowns. The Arizona defense has done a great job stuffing the run this year (145 YPG on 3.2 YPC), but has allowed 254 yards through the air. Expect the Wildcats to gamble a bit, as they already have six takeaways, and UCLA has turned the ball over three times in each of its past two contests.