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High-powered Cavs and Warriors clash Thursday
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox
Published: 2/26/2015  at  10:52:00 AM
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GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (44-10)

at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (36-22)

Tip-off: Thursday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Cleveland -4, Total: 215.5

A star-studded matchup ensues when the Golden State Warriors continue their road trip with a visit to Cleveland to take on the Cavaliers this Thursday night.

There hasn’t been too much slowing down the Warriors this year and despite playing seven of their last nine games on the road, they have gone 7-2 SU (3-5-1 ATS) since the start of February. The offense continues to be a force and the team has scored at least 110 points five of those contests and shot better than 50% as a team three times. The Warriors played their second of six straight road games on Tuesday against the Wizards and matched the seven points they were giving in a 114-107 win. Golden State’s defense didn’t do well, however, allowing Washington to make 53.2% of its shots, but they weren’t shabby offensively either (50% FG) and really won the game with seven more three-pointers and 26 forced turnovers. Cleveland has played just as well as its opponent recently and come into this big game as victors in 17 of its past 19 contests (15-4 ATS). In that time they are winning games by an average of 15.4 PPG and hit triple-digits on offense in all but two victories. Their latest triumph came on the road against Detroit when they were seven-point favorites and left with a 102-93 win. It really only came down to making shots as the Pistons were successful on a mere 40.2% of their attempts, matching the Cavs in nearly every other aspect of the game. The Warriors have had more trouble on the road, getting eight of their 10 losses in away games and compiling an overall record of 20-8 SU (13-13-2 ATS). For Cleveland, it has treated its fans to 21 victories in 30 attempts (70%) and is just barely better than .500 ATS (16-14). This is not their first meeting on the year and the first matchup was no contest as Golden State dominated in a 112-94 game as 13.5-point favorites at home. They made half of their shots (43-of-86) and didn’t let the Cavaliers do much while playing without their leader, LeBron James. Overall in the past three seasons, the Warriors have gotten the best of this opponent and gone 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) when facing off. Some interesting trends to consider before dropping money on this game include that Golden State is 28-13 ATS (68%) after one or more consecutive wins this year as Cleveland has gone 17-5 ATS (77%) after five straight games of allowing a shooting percentage of 42% or less over the past two seasons. In injury news, the Warriors come into this one with a clean slate as the Cavs continue to be without C Anderson Varejao (Achilles) for the remainder of the year and SF Shawn Marion (Hip) for the next couple of weeks.

Can the Cavaliers make a statement with a home victory over the Warriors Thursday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2014-15 season. StatFox Forecaster has a strong 55% ATS record (154-124-1) in featured games this season. In terms of Best Bets, the experts have a huge 67% ATS (62-31) record since Feb. 1, led by StatFox Brian who has a stellar 79% ATS (15-4) mark in Best Bets during this timeframe, and is now 60% ATS (53-35) in season Best Bets. StatFox Scott is also sizzling with a 67% ATS (32-16) in Best Bets since Dec. 21, improving his record to 58% ATS (51-37) for the season. StatFox Gary is also hot with a 60% ATS (24-16) record in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 1, and 56% ATS (49-38) this season. StatFox Zach is a robust 66% ATS (27-14) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 2, while StatFox Dave is 64% ATS (14-8) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 28.

There has been no match for the Golden State offense as they lead the league in scoring (110.4 PPG), FG% (47.9%) and three-point accuracy (38.9%). The defense has also held up its end of the bargain, allowing 99.8 PPG on a league-best 42.5% shooting. PG Stephen Curry (23.8 PPG, 7.9 APG, 4.6 RPG, 2.2 SPG) came back from a 1-game absence to walk all over the Wizards for 32 points and eight assists in the win on Tuesday night. He also had no trouble against this Cleveland team with a double-double (23 points, 10 assists) and two steals earlier in the year. SG Klay Thompson (22.3 PPG, 1.2 SPG, 44% 3PM) has put up 25.3 PPG in the three contests since the All-Star break and is fourth in the league in 3PT% as he has made 164 shots from behind the arc; putting him behind only Kyle Korver and teammate Stephen Curry. He didn’t miss out on the scoring fest against the Cavs in their last matchup as he added 24 points with two steals and a block in the victory. SF Draymond Green (11.0 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 1.4 RPG) has taken a backseat offensively, scoring a mere 7.4 PPG over his last five performances, but continues to contribute everywhere else on the court with 1.2 SPG and 1.2 BPG over that period. He nearly put up a triple-double in the win over Cleveland back in January, netting 10 points to go with 11 rebounds, eight assists, three blocks and a steal.

Cleveland’s offense has been steadily improving and currently ranks third in the east and eighth overall in scoring (102.6 PPG) as it makes 45.8% of its shots (9th in league). On the other side of the ball, the Cavs are giving up 98.7 PPG (13th in league) behind 45.4% shooting (11th-worst in league). SF LeBron James (25.7 PPG, 7.3 APG, 5.6 RPG, 1.5 SPG) continues to be the most dominant baller in the world and has scored in double-digits in every game this year as he comes off a stellar showing (19 points, 11 assists, 7 rebounds, 3 steals, 1 block) against Detroit. He wasn’t on the court for the first meeting with Golden State, but had some amazing numbers (31.0 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 7.0 APG) against them in two games as a member of the Heat last season. PG Kyrie Irving (21.6 PPG, 5.3 APG, 1.5 SPG) has gone cold from behind the arc in his past four games, making just 4-of-14 long-range shots (29% 3PM) as he averages 19.5 PPG. He also had trouble from the field the last time these teams met, hitting 9-of-23 shots (39% FG) for 23 points as he added six rebounds, five assists and three steals in a losing effort. PF Kevin Love (16.9 PPG, 10.4 RPG) scored more than 20 points for just the third time in his past nine performances when he went for 24 against Detroit on Tuesday with all of his baskets coming from three-point range. He didn’t have any problems getting a nice stat-line (17 points, 14 rebounds) against Golden State just a little over a month ago.


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