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Struggling Spurs and Blazers meet Wednesday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 2/25/2015  at  11:28:00 AM
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SAN ANTONIO SPURS (34-22)

at PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (36-19)

Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Portland -3.0, Total: 195.5

Both the Spurs and Trail Blazers will be looking to get back into the win column when the teams meet Wednesday night.

The Spurs went into Utah on Monday and lost 90-81 as 5.5-point favorites. San Antonio has now lost three straight games both SU and ATS. The team has really struggled on both ends of the floor, averaging just 90.0 PPG over its past two contests and allowing 106.3 PPG over its past three. Portland, meanwhile, has lost two straight games both SU and ATS after a 98-92 loss as a 1.5-point home favorite versus Memphis on Sunday. The team can’t buy a bucket offensively, averaging just 84.0 PPG over its past two contests thanks to two consecutive games of shooting under 41% from the field. The Spurs and Blazers have already met three times this season and the Blazers are now 2-1 SU and ATS in those games. When hosting the Spurs over the past three years, Portland is 4-3 SU and ATS. 10 of the 15 games played between these teams over the past three seasons have gone Over the total. San Antonio is 32-17 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the past three seasons. Portland, however, is 7-0 ATS in home games where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points this season. PF LaMarcus Aldridge (Thumb) is probable for the Blazers, but C Joel Freeland (Shoulder) is out indefinitely. The Spurs aren’t currently dealing with any injuries, but they’re always a threat to rest their players.

Can the Spurs snap out of their recent funk with a win over the Blazers in Portland Wednesday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2014-15 season. StatFox Forecaster has a strong 56% ATS record (153-122-1) in featured games this season. In terms of Best Bets, the experts have a huge 66% ATS (58-30) record since Feb. 1, led by StatFox Brian who has a stellar 68% ATS (28-13) mark in Best Bets since Dec. 31, and is now 60% ATS (52-35) in season Best Bets. StatFox Scott is also sizzling with a 67% ATS (31-15) in Best Bets since Dec. 21, improving his record to 58% ATS (50-36) for the season. StatFox Gary is also hot with a 60% ATS (24-16) record in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 1, and 56% ATS (49-38) this season. StatFox Zach is 65% ATS (26-14) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 2, while StatFox Dave is 62% ATS (13-8) in NBA Best Bets since Jan. 28.

The Spurs have lost three straight games and PG Tony Parker (14.1 PPG, 5.0 APG) is going to need to start playing better. Parker is averaging just 3.5 PPG and 5.0 APG in 21.0 MPG in the two games since putting up 21 points and 13 assists against the Clippers three games ago. He has not looked like himself and will need to be better against the Blazers. He played in just one game against Portland this year, but he did have 17 points and seven assists in that one. He must bring that same type of energy on Wednesday. PF Tim Duncan (14.6 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 2.9 APG, 1.9 BPG) has really played well against Portland this year. In two games against the Blazers, Duncan has averaged 21.5 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 4.5 APG, 3.0 BPG and 1.5 SPG in 36.5 MPG. He’ll need to be at his best in this one, as Portland has an excellent frontcourt. SF Kawhi Leonard (14.8 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 2.5 APG, 2.0 SPG) will also need to play well in this game. He’s really struggled offensively lately, averaging just 8.4 PPG (31% FG, 17% 3PT) and 5.6 RPG over the past five games. If he does not find his offense soon then this team will continue to lose games. SG Manu Ginobili (11.8 PPG, 4.7 APG, 3.0 RPG, 1.0 SPG) is shooting just 31% from the field in two games against Portland this season, but he is averaging 12.0 PPG, 6.0 APG, 4.5 RPG and 1.5 SPG in those contests. If he can get his shot to fall then he should be a big weapon on Wednesday. C Aron Baynes (6.5 PPG, 4.6 RPG) has seen a major increase in minutes lately. He’s played 25.0 MPG over the past four contests and has responded well, averaging 10.5 PPG and 6.0 RPG. He provides this team with solid minutes and doesn’t play outside of his capabilities. He’ll need to play well defensively alongside Duncan in this one.

The Blazers have lost two straight games and PG Damian Lillard (21.4 PPG, 6.2 APG, 4.6 RPG, 1.4 SPG) has really struggled to take care of the basketball. Lillard has 13 turnovers in the past three games and just 11 assists. He must do a better job of limiting his mistakes against the Spurs. He has torched San Antonio this season, averaging 29.7 PPG, 5.7 APG, 5.0 RPG and 1.3 SPG in 40.7 MPG in their three meetings. PF LaMarcus Aldridge (23.4 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 1.1 BPG) missed the game against Memphis on Sunday but is set to return against San Antonio. He’s averaging 26.3 PPG and 12.7 RPG against the Spurs this season and has really battled Tim Duncan on both ends of the floor. He’ll need to play well in this game and if his thumb is limiting him at all then the Blazers could have trouble winning this one at home. One guy who has really stepped it up for Portland is C Meyers Leonard (6.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG). Leonard has had three games with 11+ points in the past four contests and is one of the Blazers’ best outside shooters (44% 3PT) despite being a big man. He can really help this team with some solid minutes off the bench. SG Wesley Matthews (16.1 PPG, 1.2 SPG) had just four points in 36 minutes against the Grizzlies, missing every shot he took from the field. He’ll need to find his stroke against a Spurs team that he has struggled against this season (10.7 PPG, 33% FG in three games). SF Nicolas Batum (9.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 4.6 APG, 1.1 SPG) is averaging just 6.0 PPG in 32.0 MPG in two games against the Spurs this season. He is, however, coming off of a game where he finished with 17 points, 10 rebounds and five assists against Memphis. He should be feeling confident heading into this one.


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