ACC Championship
Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Florida State -4, Total: 61

No. 4 Florida State looks for its third consecutive ACC title when it takes on No. 11 Georgia Teach on Saturday night in Charlotte.

The Seminoles have not lost a game SU since Nov. 24, 2012, and have won their games this season by an average of 12.6 PPG. But they are a mere 3-9 ATS, and have allowed each of their past three contests to be very close, winning by just 4.0 PPG against the likes of Miami, Boston College and Florida. FSU was a 6.5-point favorite at home against the Gators in its most recent game last week and won 24-19 despite turning the ball over four times and outgaining its opponent 306 to 282. The Yellow Jackets have also had a huge season, with their two SU losses coming back-to-back against Duke and North Carolina. Since those defeats, they have a five-game winning streak (both SU and ATS) while defeating both Clemson and Georgia to cap off the regular season. They were the underdog in both of those contests and took down the Tigers by a score of 28-6 as 2-point underdogs at home and then earned a huge victory on the road against the Bulldogs as 10.5-point underdogs, prevailing 30-24 in overtime behind 399 rushing yards (5.7 YPC) and three forced turnovers. These two programs last met two seasons ago in similar circumstances with the Seminoles captured a 21-15 win as big 15.5-point favorites in the 2012 ACC Championship as the teams combined for only 629 yards of total offense and five turnovers. Georgia Tech failed to score a touchdown in the loss, while Florida State QB Jameis Winston, put up a poor performance with a mere 134 passing yards, 0 TD and 1 INT. Some betting trends to keep an eye on in this one include that the Seminoles are 37-20 ATS (65%) after two or more consecutive losses ATS since 1992, while the Yellow Jackets are 12-3 ATS (80%) after playing their last game on the road in the past three seasons. Some important offensive players may be missing from this one, as HB Karlos Williams (concussion) is doubtful for Florida State while Georgia Tech's No. 1 WR DeAndre Smelter (knee) is also listed as doubtful.

Can Georgia Tech finally hand a loss to Florida State? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and bowl season. StatFox Brian is heating up with a 64% ATS mark (7-4) in College Football Best Bets over the past three weeks, while StatFox Gary is 58% ATS (7-5) in Best Bets in this same timeframe.

Florida State’s offense has once again been quite impressive this season while putting up 299.1 YPG through the air (13th in nation) and adding 131.1 YPG on the ground, as it has scored 34.6 PPG (31st in FBS). QB Jameis Winston (3,250 pass yards, 21 TD, 17 INT) has had his issues with turnovers this year and has thrown 11 picks in his past five games, all of which were fairly close contests. But he has connected on 65.1% of his passes for 8.3 YPA, and has gone over 300 yards passing five times. HB Dalvin Cook (728 rush yards, 7 TD) has been solid with 5.9 YPC and is coming off his highest yardage total (144) last week against Florida. HB Karlos Williams (609 rush yards, 10 TD) is questionable for this championship game, and if he misses the contest, Cook will likely get 20+ carries once again. WR Rashad Greene (1,183 rec yards, 5 TD) has been the go-to guy through the air as he has seven games of triple-digit receiving yards this year, but is coming off a poor showing against Florida (3 catches, 35 yards). The defense for the Seminoles has done quite well also while allowing 22.0 PPG (27th in nation) behind the strong efforts of LBs Reggie Northrup (101 tackles, 1 INT) and Terrance Smith (82 tackles, 2 INT).

As usual, the Georgia Tech offense is focused on one thing, and that is rushing the ball using the option. The school has gained 333.8 YPG on the ground (4th in FBS) while adding 135.3 YPG passing with 37.2 PPG (17th in nation). QB Justin Thomas (1,640 pass yards, 16 TD, 4 INT) has been solid with his passing while not throwing a pick in his past three games as he gets 9.1 YPA. His real skill is running the ball though, and he leads the team with 861 rushing yards (5.2 YPC) while scoring two touchdowns. There are a ton of different threats that get to rush the ball in this option offense, and 10 different players besides Thomas have more than 100 yards on the ground. The leader of them has been HB Zach Laskey (748 rush yards, 8 TD) who is coming off his best game of the season when he went for 140 yards on 26 carries (5.4 YPC) and 3 TD against Georgia. WR DeAndre Smelter (715 rec yards, 7 TD) is the only receiver on the team with more than 16 catches, as WR Darren Waller (255 rec yards, 4 TD) will take over the role as the top option. The defense for the Yellow Jackets has given up 24.1 PPG on the year (43rd in nation) as LBs Paul Davis (97 tackles, 4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 TD) and Quayshawn Nealy (84 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 2 INT, 1 TD) lead the way.