Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: New Orleans -3, Total: 50

The Saints look to prevent a three-game home losing streak when they host the Ravens on Monday night.

Baltimore is coming off its bye week and has dropped two straight road contests, while New Orleans is still reeling after a brutal 27-10 home loss against the Bengals last week that followed a 27-24 home loss to San Francisco. The Saints’ offense has as many turnovers (four) as touchdowns during this losing skid. They could have trouble scoring again, as they’re playing a Ravens team has held five 2014 opponents to 17 points or less and is 8-2 (SU and ATS) when coming off its bye week over the past 10 seasons. New Orleans is 0-8 ATS in home games off an upset loss by 14+ points as a favorite since 1992. They team is also 6-18 ATS against AFC North division opponents since then. However, the Saints are also 6-0 ATS in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in their previous game over the past three seasons. These clubs have met just five times since 1996 and Baltimore is 4-1 (SU and ATS) in those games. They also won-and-covered in their lone trip to New Orleans in this span, prevailing 35-22 in 2006. Baltimore doesn't have a ton of injuries coming off a bye week, but it did just place CB Jimmy Smith (foot) on IR and has three players considered questionable in WR Michael Campanaro (hamstring), C Jeremy Zuttah (leg) and OT Jah Reid (hand). The Saints have a slew of offensive injuries including WR Brandin Cooks (thumb), RB Pierre Thomas (ribs) and S Rafael Bush (leg) who are all out indefinitely. OT Zach Strief (concussion) and RBs Khiry Robinson (forearm) and Edwin Baker (concussion) are all listed as questionable for Monday night.

Can the Saints pick up this crucial victory? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past nine weeks, combining for a 58% ATS mark (80-59). StatFox Scott is 67% ATS (24-12) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 61% ATS (27-17) on the season. StatFox Dave is 59% ATS (23-16) in Best Bets during these nine weeks to improve to 55% ATS (27-22) on the season, while StatFox Brian continues to roll in NFL Totals with a strong 64% record (21-12) for the season. StatFox Gary is 6-1 ATS in his past two weeks of NFL Best Bets.

The Ravens have had a week to prepare for their matchup with the Saints in New Orleans and they have been a good team when coming off of their bye in the past. This Baltimore defense has been hit-or-miss this season, but allowed just seven points to the Titans in its last game. This unit has been great in stopping the run, allowing just 84.5 rushing yards per game (5th in NFL) but will need to be ready to defend against a Saints team that prefers to beat teams through the air. On offense, RB Justin Forsett (721 rush yards, 5 TD) has been this team’s most consistent weapon. Forsett rushed for a season-high 112 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Tennessee on Nov. 9 and should be in for a huge day against a subpar New Orleans rushing defense. QB Joe Flacco (2,521 pass yards, 17 TD, 8 INT) threw for just 169 yards against the Titans, but he didn’t toss any interceptions and did find the end zone once. Flacco is prone to high-turnover games and will need to take care of the ball in this one. As long as the Ravens are winning the battle in time of possession, they should have a great chance of beating this struggling Saints team.

New Orleans is having an extremely down year and has not even been finding success when playing at home, where it has been dominant in years past. QB Drew Brees (3,071 pass yards, 19 TD, 10 INT) is on pace to throw for 30 touchdowns this year, which would be his lowest season total since his 28 TD tosses in 2007. However, Brees has won seven straight Monday night home games, where he's completed 72% of his passes for 2,324 yards (332 per game) on 10.3 YPA, 25 TD and 3 INT.Brees really struggled to get points on the board for his team against the Bengals and will now operate without versatile rookie WR Brandin Cooks who leads all Saints wideouts with 550 receiving yards on 53 catches. RB Mark Ingram (618 rush yards, 6 TD), who had rushed for 100 or more yards in three straight games prior to last week, gained only 67 yards in the loss to Cincinnati. Ingram got 23 carries in that game, but the Saints just could not create any running room for their talented back. TE Jimmy Graham (59 rec, 623 yards, 7 TD) was also a non-factor for the Saints last game, receiving a season-low three targets. They’ll need to feature him much more heavily against the Ravens. On defense, the Saints have just not gotten stops when they have needed to. They allowed the Bengals to convert 9-of-13 third downs and will need to do a better job of making plays that can ultimately get their defense off the field sooner. This unit ranks 30th in the NFL in third-down defense, 24th in passing defense (255.2 YPG allowed) and T-19th in rushing defense (114.7 YPG allowed).