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Sizzling-hot Chiefs visit winless Raiders Thursday
By: Zach Cohen - StatFox
Published: 11/20/2014  at  6:25:00 AM
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (7-3)
at OAKLAND RAIDERS (0-10)

Kickoff: Thursday, 8:25 p.m. ET
Line: Kansas City -7, Total: 43

The Raiders look to earn their first victory of the season when they host the red-hot Chiefs on Thursday night.

Here is the BetDSI Sportsbook betting preview for this matchup:

Kansas City outlasted the Seahawks 24-20 last week as a 1-point home favorite, giving the club five straight victories (SU and ATS) and seven wins in the past eight contests (SU and ATS). Meanwhile Oakland failed to score more than 17 points for the fourth time in five games in a 13-6 loss at San Diego, but did cover the spread as a 10-point underdog. The last time the Chiefs visited Oakland, Jamaal Charles racked up 215 yards from scrimmage and five total touchdowns in a 56-31 victory. Kansas City is 9-2 SU and ATS in its past 11 meetings in Oakland. In fact, the road team is 18-4 ATS in this head-to-head series dating back to the start of the 2003 season. While the Chiefs are one of only two NFL teams allowing an average of 17.5 or fewer points per game, the Raiders are one of only three offenses in the league scoring an average of 17 or fewer points per contest. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS off a non-conference game over the last two years and 11-3 ATS in road games during that span. They are, however, just 8-26 ATS in road games after gaining 175+ rushing yards in their previous game since 1992. Both teams have several players on the injury list, with the most notables being WR Donnie Avery (groin), WR A.J. Jenkins (shoulder), TE Anthony Fasano (knee), CB Chris Owens (knee) and CB Jamell Fleming (hamstring), who are is questionable for Kansas City. For Oakland, four questionable players that stand out are CB Carlos Rogers (knee), S Jonathan Dowling (back), TE David Ausberry (foot) and G Gabe Jackson (knee).

Can the Raiders earn their first win of the season on Thursday night? For the answer, connect to NFL Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2014 regular season and playoffs. The experts have remained hot over the past nine weeks, combining for a 58% ATS mark (80-59). StatFox Scott is 67% ATS (24-12) in Best Bets during this timeframe, and 61% ATS (27-17) on the season. StatFox Dave is 59% ATS (23-16) in Best Bets during these nine weeks to improve to 55% ATS (27-22) on the season, while StatFox Brian continues to roll in NFL Totals with a strong 64% record (21-12) for the season. StatFox Gary is 6-1 ATS in his past two weeks of NFL Best Bets.

The Chiefs are one of the hottest teams and football and it’s largely due to the play of their defense. They are the best team in the league at defending air attacks, allowing just 201.6 passing yards per game. They should have no trouble making things extremely difficult on Derek Carr. Offensively, QB Alex Smith (1,977 pass yards, 11 TD, 4 INT) continues to win games despite not having the arm that many other quarterbacks in this league have. Smith is a game manager and does an excellent job of doing just that. It’ll take an extremely poor performance for him to allow his team to lose this game to a winless Raiders team. RB Jamaal Charles (692 rush yards, 8 TD) has been in a groove recently, rushing for seven touchdowns in the past five games. He rushed 20 times for 159 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Seattle last week and should be able to do something similar against an Oakland defense that is allowing 129.8 rushing yards per game (27th in NFL) this year.

The Raiders went into San Diego last game and kept it close, but they were unable to move the ball against a Chargers defense that is far from being anything special. QB Derek Carr (2,075 pass yards, 13 TD, 9 INT) threw for 172 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions in the game, but he did lose a fumble. He’ll need to take care of the ball against a Chiefs defense that will be constantly trying to force turnovers. The Raiders are really lacking in talent on the offensive side of the ball. TE Mychal Rivera (37 rec, 326 yards, 3 TD) has been their best weapon in the passing game in recent weeks, catching 24 passes for 225 yards and three touchdowns over the past four games. He had three catches for 40 yards on five targets in the loss to San Diego. Somebody will need to step their game up if this team is going to beat anybody this season, and that somebody will likely be RB Darren McFadden (393 rush yards, 2 TD). McFadden has rushed for just 35 yards on 15 carries over the past two weeks and just doesn’t seem to have any explosiveness this season. Still, the Raiders will need to get their ground game going and he is the only one with a chance of producing there. This defense will need to be ready to stop the run against Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs.


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