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Ohio tries to snap losing skid Tuesday vs. Kent State
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox
Published: 11/19/2013  at  3:41:00 AM
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Kickoff: Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Ohio -4

Kent State will try to finish its disappointing season Tuesday with two straight wins when it faces an Ohio team attempting to win its first game since Oct. 26.

The Golden Flashes have struggled this season, going 1-5 (SU and ATS) in six contests since the start of October. They did put together a solid performance against Miami-Ohio last week though, winning 24-6 but failing to cover their 19.5-point spread as favorites. The Bobcats were in the hunt for a spot in the Mid-American Conference championship game with a 3-1 conference record at the end of October, but saw any real chance of this happening slip away with two straight blowout losses on the road (Buffalo and Bowling Green) where they were outscored 79-3. At home this season, Ohio is 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) and could notch another home win against a Kent State team that is 1-5 SU (3-3 ATS) when playing on the road. This series has been pretty even since 1992 with the Bobcats holding an 11-9 SU advantage. But the Golden Flashes are 10-5 ATS during that timeframe, including 6-0 ATS (4-2 SU) in their past six trips to Ohio. Kent State crushed the Bobcats 28-6 last season, aided by two first-quarter defensive touchdowns. The Golden Flashes are also 8-1 ATS (89%) off a double-digit conference win in the past three seasons, but Ohio benefits from the fact that road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, off a conference home win, facing an opponent coming off two straight double-digit conference losses are just 5-22 ATS (18%) since 1992.

Who will prevail in this MAC showdown on Tuesday night? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2013 regular season and bowl season. The four experts are a combined 54% ATS (105-91-7) in college football Best Bets for the season, led by StatFox Dave who is 59% ATS (32-22-2) in Best Bets this season, including 70% ATS (19-8-1) during a run of eight straight weeks of .500 or better. StatFox Brian is also 59% ATS (30-21-1) in college football Best Bets this year, including a 63% ATS (19-11) surge over the past five weeks. StatFox Gary is 53% ATS (17-15-1) in college football Best Bets for the season, and is coming off a perfect 2-0 ATS week.

The Golden Flashes have not been clicking this season on offense, getting only 353.6 total YPG and ranking near the bottom of the nation in scoring with 18.6 PPG (115th in FBS). Kent State has given freshman QB Colin Reardon (1,744 pass yards, 6.7 YPA, 11 TD, 9 INT) the opportunity to start this season and he rewarded them with good play in his first seven games (10 TD and 4 INT), but has thrown only one touchdown and five interceptions over the team's past three contests. Reardon has topped 200 passing yards only twice all season, but does pose a threat in the run game with 283 rushing yards (3.5 YPC) and two touchdowns on the year. HB Trayion Durham leads the team with 749 rushing yards (4.3 YPC) and six touchdowns and has run for a score in three straight games. He has split time with HB Dri Archer (389 rush yards, 7.3 YPC, 3 TD) who is just as much of a threat in the passing game (274 rec. yards, 4 TD). The duo of WRs Chris Humphrey (559 rec. yards, 3 TD) and Tyshon Goode (403 rec. yards, 2 TD) both have more than 40 receptions for the Golden Flashes this season, while TE Casey Pierce has been an important red zone target with four touchdown grabs. The Kent State defense has allowed 28.2 PPG this season (76th in nation), but has only given up only 11.0 PPG and 240.0 total YPG over their past two contests.

The Ohio offense was solid through its first eight games with 33.6 PPG, but has been non-existent over the past two with three points combined. After averaging 276.8 passing YPG during a five-game streak of at least 2 TD passes, senior QB Tyler Tettleton (2,248 pass yards, 17 TD, 7 INT) has a mere 109.5 passing YPG and 0 TD in his past two games. He also failed to score a touchdown against Kent State last year, completing 21-of-37 passes for 232 yards and 1 INT. With 644 yards on 147 carries (4.4 YPC), HB Beau Blankenship has led the team in rushing, but like the rest of the Bobcats offense, has struggled over the past two games with 94 combined yards on the ground on 3.2 YPC. WR Donte Foster (734 rec. yards, 6 TD) had three straight games with 115+ receiving yards and four total touchdowns (28 receptions) but has caught a combined three passes for 16 yards in his past two games. The Bobcats defense had allowed just 18.3 PPG in its first four conference games, but has surrendered 39.5 PPG and 440.5 total YPG in their past two contests. Needless to say, the Bobcats will look to turn things around at home against a KSU team that has not been performing at a high level this season.

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