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Ole Miss hosts No. 6 LSU Saturday night
By: Robert Livingston - StatFox
Published: 10/19/2013  at  4:08:00 AM
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LSU TIGERS (6-1)
at OLE MISS REBELS (3-3)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: LSU -7.5, Total: 60

Ole Miss will look to snap its three-game losing streak, but the school has been tabbed as an underdog of more than a touchdown for Saturday's game hosting No. 6 LSU.

The Rebels retreated to 3-3 SU but improved to 3-3 ATS on Saturday, losing 41-38 to Texas A&M as seven-point underdogs. LSUís one SU loss of the season came to Georgia, falling on the road 44-41 as three-point underdogs for the push. Since then, the Tigers have bounced back well with SU and ATS wins against Mississippi State and Florida, to move to 4-2-1 ATS this season. Itís worth noting, however, LSU head coach Les Miles is 5-14 ATS after covering in two consecutive games. Last year, Ole Miss easily covered a 19-point spread in a 41-35 loss to LSU in Baton Rouge, but could have won SU as well. The Rebels led in the fourth quarter, only to have the Tigers tie it on a punt return and then eventually take the lead with 15 seconds left. It was an ugly game for both quarterbacks with a combined five interceptions. In the past 10 meetings in Oxford, LSU is 6-4 SU while the teams have evenly split 5-5 ATS.

Can Ole Miss pull off the upset at home? For the answer, connect to College Football Best Bets for all the StatFox Experts picks throughout the 2013 regular season and bowl season. The experts continued their hot streak in college football Best Bets with a strong 64% ATS record (14-8-2) this past week, highlighted by StatFox Brian's perfect 6-0 ATS mark. The four experts are now a combined 59% ATS (75-52-5) for the season. StatFox Gary is a sizzling 73% ATS (11-4-1) in college football Best Bets over the past five weeks and 63% ATS (12-7-1) this year. StatFox Brian is also at 63% ATS (17-10-1) for the year in Best Bets, while StatFox Scott is 59% ATS (13-9-2) on Best Bets in the past four weeks and 57% ATS (21-16-2) for the season. StatFox Dave is 71% ATS (12-5-1) on Best Bets in the past three weeks and 57% ATS (22-17) for the season.

LSU QB Zach Mettenberger has been fantastic this season, completing 116-of-174 passes (67%) for 1,890 yards and 15 touchdowns with only two interceptions. Last week against Florida was his lowest passing output of the season, going just 9Ėof-17 for 152 yards and no touchdowns, but he also didnít throw a pick, which was critical as the LSU defense shut the Gators down in a 17-6 victory. Last year against Ole Miss, Mettenberger completed 22-of-37 passes for 282 yards and didnít find the end zone while throwing 2 INT. Mettenberger has two primary receiving threats in Odell Beckham (37 catches, 733 yards, 6 TD) and Jarvis Landry (46 catches, 674 yards, 7 TD). On the ground, Jeremy Hill leads the way with 98 carries for 715 yards (7.3 YPC) and 9 TD, including a season-high 68-yard touchdown scamper. The LSU defense is limiting opponents to 4.0 YPC and 6.6 yards per passing attempt, with opponents completing only 54.3% of their passes, but the ones that are completed go for an average of 12.2 yards per catch.

Ole Miss QB Bo Wallace had arguably his best game of the season last week against the Aggies, completing 22-of-36 passes for 301 yards and three touchdowns with one interception. Overall this season heís completing just 59.4% of his passes for 1,444 yards with 9 TD and 3 INT while getting sacked 13 times. He struggled mightily last year against LSUís defense, completing 15-of-35 passes while getting picked off three times. He distributes the ball to more targets than Mettenberger, with four players having 199 yards receiving or more, led by Donte Moncrief (24 catches, 358 yards and 4 TD). Jeff Scott (53 carries, 434 yards, 2 TD) paces the rushing attack and is key for the offense when it wants to control time of possession. On the defensive end, the Rebels give up 4.6 YPC and 6.9 yards per passing attempt while opponents have completed 69.6% of their passes against them.

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