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NASCAR tackles the Monster Mile Sunday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 9/29/2013  at  3:41:00 AM
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NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
AAA 400

Sunday, September 29 1:00 p.m. EDT
Dover International Speedway Dover, DE

The Chase for the Cup returns to Delaware on Sunday as the NASCAR drivers rev up their engines for the AAA 400 at Dover International Speedway, better known to race fans as the "Monster Mile. This intermediate track, completed in 1969, is a one-mile concrete oval with high-banked, 24-degree turns and straights of nine degrees. The frontstretch and backstretch are each 1,076 feet, or 0.204 miles. Jimmie Johnson has won seven of his 23 races at Dover, but Tony Stewart won the June race in Delaware and Brad Keselowski prevailed at this track last fall.

Odds to Win Race

Jimmie Johnson7-to-2
Matt Kenseth9-to-2
Kyle Busch9-to-2
Kasey Kahne7-to-1
Brad Keselowski12-to-1
Jeff Gordon12-to-1
Carl Edwards15-to-1
Martin Truex Jr.18-to-1
Kurt Busch18-to-1
Clint Bowyer18-to-1
Kevin Harvick18-to-1
Denny Hamlin20-to-1
Brian Vickers25-to-1
Greg Biffle25-to-1
Joey Logano25-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.25-to-1
Ryan Newman50-to-1
Jamie McMurray60-to-1
Juan Montoya75-to-1
Mark Martin75-to-1
Jeff Burton75-to-1
Danica Patrick100-to-1
Marcos Ambrose100-to-1
Aric Almirola100-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.100-to-1
Paul Menard100-to-1
A.J. Allmendinger100-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver)100-to-1

Drivers to Watch

Jimmie Johnson (7/2) - He was robbed of an eighth career victory at this track in the spring, as it was ruled that he started early on a restart late in the race. Even with that controversial 17th-place finish, Johnson still has 11 top-5s and 16 top-10s in 23 starts at this track. Since 2009, his finishes at Dover are: 1st, 1st, 16th, 1st, 9th, 2nd, 1st, 4th and 17th. He's also started off the Chase for the Cup on the right foot, placing 5th in Chicago and then coming in 4th place last week. The payoff isnt great for the biggest chalk on the board, but Johnson is still worth your largest wager on Sunday.

Clint Bowyer (18/1) - Dover has been an excellent track for Bowyer who has earned the second most driver points over the past four "Monster Mile" races, trailing only Jimmie Johnson. This has occurred with Bowyer's finishes of 8th, 5th, 9th and 6th over this span. He also placed fifth at the other concrete track, Bristol, earlier this season. Although he's been wildly inconsistent all year, Bowyer has still raced well enough to earn eight top-5's and 14 top-10's. At 18-to-1 odds, he represents the best value on the board.

Jeff Gordon (12/1) - He has the third-most driver points at Dover in the past four races, thanks to a runner-up last fall and a third-place showing this spring. Gordon is no stranger to success at this track, compiling four poles won, four victories and 16 top-5's in 41 career starts at the "Monster Mile." And before last week's pedestrian 15th-place finish in Loudon, Gordon had ripped off four straight top-8's and nine top-10's in his previous dozen starts. With double-digit odds, Gordon is worthy of a small wager here.

Joey Logano (25/1) - As darkhorses go, Logano has a lot to offer bettors on Sunday. First of all, he's thrived on concrete tracks with three top-10's in his past four races on this surface, which includes finishes of 7th and 10th at Dover. Logano also placed 8th at Dover in the spring of 2012, and has also raced well in the latter part of this season, racking up six straight top-8's before scuffling in his past three starts. He had a great chance to open the Chase with a bang, earning the pole position in Chicago and leading for 32 laps, but his engine failed Logano. At 25-to-1, a one-unit wager could sure go a long way.

Ryan Newman (50/1) - In terms of sheer payoff potential, you have to take a flier on longshot Ryan Newman, who has three career wins at Dover. Yes, those wins were back in 2003 and 2004 in the back-to-back-to-back variety, but he also has four poles and eight other top-10 finishes at the "Monster Mile." Newman also earned a 7th-place finish in the Bristol spring race, the other concrete track venue. And he's been pretty strong since his crash in the first Loudon race, tallying top-5 finishes in four of nine starts.

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