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NASCAR Chase continues at The Magic Mile Sunday
By: Brian Graham - StatFox
Published: 9/22/2013  at  2:01:00 AM
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NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Sylvania 300

Sunday, September 22 3:00 p.m. EDT
New Hampshire Motor Speedway Loudon, NH

The Chase for the Cup continues in the Northeast on Sunday as the NASCAR drivers try their luck at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in the Sylvania 300. This intermediate track known as "The Magic Mile," was completed in 1990 and is a 1.058-mile oval with variable degrees (2-to-7) of banking on the turns, with a 1-degree banking on the two stretches, which both measure 1,500 feet. Two months ago, Brian Vickers (at 50-to-1 odds) became the 11th different driver to win in the past 11 starts at this track.

Odds to Win Race

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Jimmie Johnson9-to-2
Kyle Busch6-to-1
Matt Kenseth8-to-1
Jeff Gordon8-to-1
Kasey Kahne8-to-1
Denny Hamlin10-to-1
Clint Bowyer10-to-1
Brad Keselowski10-to-1
Kurt Busch12-to-1
Kevin Harvick12-to-1
Brian Vickers15-to-1
Joey Logano20-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.20-to-1
Carl Edwards20-to-1
Ryan Newman25-to-1
Martin Truex Jr.30-to-1
Greg Biffle40-to-1
Jeff Burton60-to-1
Jamie McMurray60-to-1
Juan Pablo Montoya75-to-1
Danica Patrick100-to-1
Bobby Labonte100-to-1
Marcos Ambrose100-to-1
Aric Almirola100-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.100-to-1
Paul Menard100-to-1
Mark Martin100-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver)100-to-1

Drivers to Watch

Brad Keselowski (10/1) - He has come up big at "The Magic Mile" in his past four starts, placing 2nd, 5th, 6th and 4th two months ago from his pole position. Keselowski also started on the pole at Loudon in 2010. The fourth-placing finish at this track in July was the first of four top-7 showings in his past nine starts, which included last week's 7th-place finish in Chicago and a 4th-place result at Phoenix, a track very similar to New Hampshire Motor Speedway. With double-digit odds, Keselowski is our pick to win Sunday's race.

Kasey Kahne (8/1) - Like Keselowski, Kahne has also raced near the front of the pack in his recent history in Loudon, tallying a win in July 2012, a 5th-place showing two months after that, and then coming in 11th this past July. Hes earned the outside pole in three of his past seven races at New Hampshire, and finished 15th or better in each of his past eight Loudon starts that his engine did not fail him in. Not only does Kahne thrive on tracks of this distance, but hes also kept himself in the Chase with four top-7 finishes in his past eight starts. Kahne also used one of his track tests prior to this race, giving him the best chalk value on the board Sunday.

Ryan Newman (25/1) - Newman is still getting darkhorse odds despite winning three times on this track in his career, plus six top-5s and 15 top-10s. And these successful runs havent been ancient history either, as hes cranked out top-10s in six of his past eight Loudon races, winning two of his six career Loudon poles during this stretch. And for even more recent history, Newman has four top-5's and five top-10's in his past eight starts this season, a run that began with his victory at the Brickyard. Newmans 25-to-1 odds are worthy of a small wager.

Martin Truex Jr. (30/1) - His odds continue to get more favorable in each race at this track, as Truex was 20-to-1 last year and 25-to-1 just two months ago. This is despite placing no worse than 17th in his past four starts at New Hampshire, or in two of his other three starts at similar tracks (twice in Richmond). Truex also has four top-3 finishes (including a win at Sonoma) and six top-7 showings in his past 13 starts this season. At 30-to-1, Truex is worthy of a one-unit wager.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (100/1) - Although he had zero top-10 finishes in his first 25 races this season, Stenhouse has rattled off back-to-back top-10's (Richmond and Chicago), which was preceded by his pole position in Atlanta. Stenhouse has been very consistent this season, completing the second-most laps (7,524) and fourth-most miles (10,171.86) on the NASCAR circuit. He's done that by completing all 27 races with an average finish of 18.9, which is exactly his average start (18.9). His first career race at Loudon in July, which he tested on beforehand, ended badly when Danica Patrick's car took him out, sending Stenhouse to a 34th-place finish. But as longshots go, Stenhouse is clearly the most enticing play on the board.

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