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February 24th, 2006 In this issue: StatFox College Basketball Home Court Advantage Ratings, FREE College Hoops Foxsheet: Kansas @ Texas, CBB Conference Call: Colonial Athletic Association, StatFox Scuffle: NBA All-Star Break Report, Arena Football Power Ratings & Week Five Matchups, and StatFox’s Upcoming College Basketball contest: King of the Dance

College Hoops Home Court Advantage Ratings

How much is home court advantage worth in college basketball? There is no exact recipe for determining this. Some experts or services choose to apply a home & road team power rating to a line, others simply award a standard 3 or 4 points edge to the hosts. Is either right? Well, it can be argued that neither is. Naturally, if a team is good, it will likely play good on the road, so a standard power rating should work in evaluating their strength. On the other hand, using a standard 3 to 4 point edge can’t be right either, as obviously playing at a team like The Citadel is much different from having to travel to Spokane to take on Gonzaga.

With that in mind, StatFox staff members have for years employed a strategy for dealing with home court advantage in college hoops by simply taking a look at a team’s 3-year won-lost record at home. After all, what proves home court advantage more than winning games? Here is a look at some of the top college basketball programs in terms of home record, along with their theoretical home court edge rating. This rating can be used when comparing team Power Ratings, or Outplay Factor Ratings to come up with a theoretical line.

These are the top 25, with records as of 2/23/06. Click on the link below the ratings for all of the division-1A board teams.

StatFox Home Court Ratings

Team Season SU Record SU% ATS Rec. ATS % Score. Diff. HC Rating
GONZAGA 3-YR Home Marks 41-0 100.0% 15-24 38.5% +15.7 8
AIR FORCE 3-YR Home Marks 40-1 97.6% 15-10 60.0% +16.6 8
ILLINOIS 3-YR Home Marks 45-2 95.7% 19-13 59.4% +19.7 8
DUKE 3-YR Home Marks 42-2 95.5% 23-17 57.5% +19.9 8
WISCONSIN 3-YR Home Marks 43-3 93.5% 26-18 59.1% +16.3 7
UTAH ST 3-YR Home Marks 41-3 93.2% 22-14 61.1% +17.4 7
S ILLINOIS 3-YR Home Marks 38-3 92.7% 19-20 48.7% +11.6 7
CONNECTICUT 3-YR Home Marks 45-4 91.8% 20-16 55.6% +21.3 7
KANSAS 3-YR Home Marks 44-4 91.7% 17-24 41.5% +16.6 7
TEXAS 3-YR Home Marks 43-4 91.5% 16-15 51.6% +21.5 7
PITTSBURGH 3-YR Home Marks 48-5 90.6% 16-19 45.7% +14.5 7
ARIZONA 3-YR Home Marks 38-4 90.5% 19-22 46.3% +14.8 7
DAVIDSON 3-YR Home Marks 37-4 90.2% 21-10 67.7% +15.8 7
GEORGE MASON 3-YR Home Marks 36-4 90.0% 23-11 67.6% +12.5 7
UTEP 3-YR Home Marks 44-5 89.8% 22-13 62.9% +17.7 6
GA SOUTHERN 3-YR Home Marks 35-4 89.7% 13-13 50.0% +16.4 6
STANFORD 3-YR Home Marks 34-4 89.5% 21-15 58.3% +13.4 6
TOLEDO 3-YR Home Marks 33-4 89.2% 16-17 48.5% +9.2 6
WASHINGTON 3-YR Home Marks 41-5 89.1% 21-21 50.0% +16.5 6
NEVADA 3-YR Home Marks 40-5 88.9% 23-13 63.9% +14.5 6
CINCINNATI 3-YR Home Marks 46-6 88.5% 19-24 44.2% +16.3 6
NEW MEXICO 3-YR Home Marks 45-6 88.2% 24-16 60.0% +13.1 6
GEORGE WASH. 3-YR Home Marks 37-5 88.1% 21-12 63.6% +14.1 6
UAB 3-YR Home Marks 37-5 88.1% 19-15 55.9% +14.7 6
AKRON 3-YR Home Marks 34-5 88.1% 21-12 63.6% +14.1 6
For the full list of StatFox Home Court Ratings, click here

FREE College Basketball FoxSheet – Kansas visits Texas

With the probable Big 12 regular season conference title hanging in the balance, longtime rivals Kansas and Texas will meet on Saturday. This showdown between top Big 12 & national powers is the StatFox FREE College Basketball FoxSheet of the Week! Both teams boast 11-2 league records, meaning the winner of Saturday’s game will have a huge leg up in the race. Kansas comes in white-hot, having won its last 10 games while covering the spread in eight of those. The Jayhawks are 9-4 ATS in conference play and an incredible 5-1 ATS this season in road games. Meanwhile, Texas isn’t playing quite as well with a 5-7 ATS mark in its last 12 games, but the Horns’ have still been tough at home, losing just once in 15 games this year. They sport an mind-numbing +28.3 PPG scoring differential in Austin.

The StatFox FREE College Hoops FoxSheet of the Week is loaded with plenty of great tidbits. Be sure to visit sometime after early Friday evening to get all you need for handicapping the exciting showdown between Texas and .

The tip-off for this Big 12 Clash is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET on Saturday.

StatFox Conference Call: Colonial Athletic Association

The Colonial Athletic Association is in the midst on one of its best seasons ever. In fact, there has been talk among some experts that four teams are downright worthy of a trip to the NCAA Tournament this year, with George Mason, UNC-Wilmington, Hofstra, and Old Dominion all enjoying great campaigns. In fact, even Virginia Commonwealth is theoretically still on the bubble. How many teams can this mid-major conference really expect to earn a bid to the Big Dance in March? What do Saturday’s games hold in store for the league?

Take a look at the StatFox Weekly Conference Call, this week featuring the Colonial Athletic Association. Then dig into the StatFox Archive for past conference calls featuring these leagues:

StatFox Scuffle: NBA Post All-Star Break Report

After a two-week hiatus, StatFox Doug & StatFox Steve are back at it, this time going head-to-head regarding the NBA. This week’s StatFox Scuffle focuses on the pros coming out of the All-Star Break. Specifically, which teams should be on your radar the rest of the way? Which have a shot at the finals? Are there any surprises, or could there be?

Take a look as Doug & Steve take a look at the current state of the NBA, and a few shots at each other, in our popular StatFox Scuffle feature!

Arena Football Status Report

The Arena Football League season is four weeks in, and historically, now is the time period where the StatFox numbers and analysis start to gain plenty of strength. After a very busy offseason, the teams each have four games under their belt, so it should be smooth sailing the rest of the way from a handicapping perspective. Here is a list of some valuable StatFox handicapping tools to help you get ahead in the Arena League:

FREE FoxSheet of the Week: Orlando vs. New York
StatFox Game Matchups
StatFox Power Ratings vs. The Schutt Sports Top 12 Poll

Starting Wednesday!!! The StatFox “King of the Dance” College Hoops Contest

You’ve probably heard of a little three-week stint in March delirium called Madness, but have you ever experienced the insanity of an entire month of college hoops craziness? If not, StatFox has the opportunity for you. StatFox and Sportsbook.com are offering a tournament style contest for the college hoops action throughout the entire month of March. No longer just focusing on the Big Dance, StatFox is allowing you, the hoops handicapper, to strut your stuff through the final regular season games, the conference tournaments, the NIT, and the NCAA tournament!

The winner will receive a set of Bose Quite Comfort Headphones and a Logitech wireless mouse courtesy of Sportsbook.com, plus one year of StatFox Premium FoxSheets service!!!

The best thing is it’s FREE!!! Simply register for StatFox and visit the StatFox Contests home page for more details on the rules. The competition is slated to begin on March 1st, so sign up today!

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FREE Arena Football FoxSheet: Sunday’s Game – Orlando @ New York – 12:00 PM ET
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