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February 17th, 2006 In this issue: StatFox College Basketball Power & Outplay Factor Ratings, FREE College Hoops Foxsheet: Connecticut @ West Virginia, Bracket Buster Saturday Analysis, Conference Call: Atlantic 10, the Daytona 500, and StatFox’s Upcoming College Basketball contest: King of the Dance!

Key College Hoops Strength Indicators

With just about a month left until the start of this year’s College Hoops Tournament, the regular season is hitting its stretch drive. There’s usually no better time to take a look at the key team strength indicators, not only to get a feel for which teams will be there in March, but also to make some profits leading up to the madness.

Along with the Trends, Editorial Analysis, Sortable Stat Pages, and Team Reports that StatFox offers, we also have our very own sets of team strength indicators that can help you in your college hoops handicapping. Two of those strength indicators are our Power Ratings and Outplay Factor Ratings. Each can be used to create a theoretical game line when comparing teams and figuring in home court advantage points. Naturally, line value can be found when these calculations produce a number different from the actual spread.

Take a look at the current top 25 teams in both of StatFox’s key team strength indicators. For a full list detailing all Division-1A teams, click on the convenient links just below the top 25, then use these numbers on Saturday to jumpstart your College Basketball Handicapping.

StatFox Power Ratings

Rank Team Records Rating
1 CONNECTICUT 22-2 SU, 12-7 ATS 93
2 DUKE 24-1 SU, 11-10 ATS 92
3 TEXAS 22-3 SU, 11-8 ATS 91
4 KANSAS 18-6 SU, 13-8 ATS 90
5 MEMPHIS 23-2 SU, 11-10 ATS 88
VILLANOVA 20-2 SU, 10-8 ATS 88
N CAROLINA 16-6 SU, 13-7 ATS 88
8 OHIO ST 18-4 SU, 10-6 ATS 87
9 FLORIDA 22-3 SU, 13-6 ATS 86
TENNESSEE 19-3 SU, 15-4 ATS 86
NC STATE 20-5 SU, 13-8 ATS 86
PITTSBURGH 21-3 SU, 11-6 ATS 86
13 ILLINOIS 21-4 SU, 12-9 ATS 85
LSU 17-7 SU, 9-9 ATS 85
OKLAHOMA 16-6 SU, 8-9 ATS 85
16 W VIRGINIA 18-6 SU, 11-10 ATS 84
17 WASHINGTON 18-5 SU, 8-13 ATS 83
IOWA 20-6 SU, 10-12 ATS 83
UCLA 20-5 SU, 12-9 ATS 83
BOSTON COLLEGE 20-5 SU, 10-10 ATS 83
MICHIGAN ST 18-7 SU, 10-12 ATS 83
22 WISCONSIN 18-7 SU, 12-11 ATS 82
ARKANSAS 16-8 SU, 12-8 ATS 82
GEORGETOWN 17-5 SU, 10-8 ATS 82
CINCINNATI 17-9 SU, 8-14 ATS 82
For the full list of StatFox Power Ratings, click here

StatFox Outplay Factor Ratings

Rank Team Records Rating
1 DUKE 24-1 SU, 11-10 ATS 23
2 TEXAS 22-3 SU, 11-8 ATS 21.8
3 CONNECTICUT 22-2 SU, 12-7 ATS 20.9
4 MEMPHIS 23-2 SU, 11-10 ATS 18.8
5 VILLANOVA 20-2 SU, 10-8 ATS 18.3
6 FLORIDA 22-3 SU, 13-6 ATS 17.5
7 KANSAS 18-6 SU, 13-8 ATS 16.7
8 OHIO ST 18-4 SU, 10-6 ATS 16
9 ILLINOIS 21-4 SU, 12-9 ATS 15.9
10 TENNESSEE 19-3 SU, 15-4 ATS 15.6
11 LSU 17-7 SU, 9-9 ATS 15.3
12 NC STATE 20-5 SU, 13-8 ATS 14.5
13 N CAROLINA 16-6 SU, 13-7 ATS 14.4
WASHINGTON 18-5 SU, 8-13 ATS 14.4
15 PITTSBURGH 21-3 SU, 11-6 ATS 13.9
16 COLORADO 17-5 SU, 12-8 ATS 13.7
17 WISCONSIN 18-7 SU, 12-11 ATS 13.3
18 GEORGE MASON 20-5 SU, 14-6 ATS 13.2
19 IOWA 20-6 SU, 10-12 ATS 12.3
20 GEORGE WASHINGTON 21-1 SU, 9-6 ATS 12.2
21 ARKANSAS 16-8 SU, 12-8 ATS 12
XAVIER 15-7 SU, 9-10 ATS 12
23 OKLAHOMA 16-6 SU, 8-9 ATS 11.9
SW MISSOURI ST 17-7 SU, 16-7 ATS 11.9
25 FLORIDA ST 15-7 SU, 8-7 ATS 11.8
For the full list of StatFox Outplay Factor Ratings, click here

FREE College Basketball FoxSheet – Connecticut visits West Virginia

Continued hopes for a regular season Big East title are on the line Saturday when Connecticut visits Morgantown to take on West Virginia. This showdown between top national powers is the StatFox FREE College Basketball FoxSheet of the Week! UConn comes in still stinging from Monday’s loss to Villanova in which the Huskies surrendered a double-digit second half lead. It was the second overall and conference loss for the top-ranked team in the land. Meanwhile, West Virginia shares the same Big East mark after dropping its Valentine’s Day outing at Seton Hall. Each trailing Villanova right now by a game in the league standings, neither team can afford a loss.

Besides showing that the Mountaineers have been a reliable side and under play in conference action, the StatFox FREE College Hoops FoxSheet of the Week is loaded with plenty of other great tidbits. Be sure to visit sometime after early Friday evening to get all you need for handicapping the exciting showdown between Connecticut and West Virginia.

The tip-off for this Big East Clash is scheduled for 3:45 PM ET on Saturday.

Bracket Buster Saturday

ESPN’s annual Bracket Buster Weekend, showcasing the best in mid-Major conference basketball, starts this Friday, and StatFox is here to help you get prepared for the action. We will be taking a look at the full slate of Bracket Buster games and pinpointing the highlights on the unique slate as teams from the Mid-American & Missouri Valley Conferences, the WAC, the Horizon League and several others clash.

In all, 13 games are to be televised over the course of the weekend, and many of the teams you will be watching will be those eventually making noise when the NCAA Tournament tips-off in about a month. Get a jump start by reading StatFox’s look at Bracket Buster Weekend 2006, featuring stats and trends, analysis, power ratings, and opinions on the key games. Read this StatFox Feature article by clicking here

StatFox Conference Call: Atlantic 10

George Washington has been the class of the expanded Atlantic 10 this year, but other teams have played good basketball as well. How many teams can expect to earn a bid to the Big Dance in March from this East Coast conference? What needs to happen for some of the teams on the bubble to gain that elusive bid?

Take a look at the StatFox Weekly Conference Call, this week featuring the Atlantic 10 Conference. Then dig into the StatFox Archive for past conference calls featuring these leagues:

Coming March 1st!!! The StatFox “King of the Dance” College Hoops Contest

You’ve probably heard of a little three-week stint in March delirium called Madness, but have you ever experienced the insanity of an entire month of college hoops craziness? If not, StatFox has the opportunity for you. StatFox and Sportsbook.com are offering a tournament style contest for the college hoops action throughout the entire month of March. No longer just focusing on the Big Dance, StatFox is allowing you, the hoops handicapper, to strut your stuff through the final regular season games, the conference tournaments, the NIT, and the NCAA tournament!

The winner will receive a set of Bose Quite Comfort Headphones and a Logitech wireless mouse courtesy of Sportsbook.com, plus one year of StatFox Premium FoxSheets service!!!

The best thing is it’s FREE!!! Simply register for StatFox and visit the StatFox Contests home page for more details on the rules. The competition is slated to begin on March 1st, so sign up today!

Daytona 500 Preview

The green flag on the 2006 NASCAR season drops on Sunday, February 19th with the annual running of the Daytona 500, stock car racing’s most prestigious event. The “Great American Race” as it is often called, is NASCAR’s Super Bowl, the Crown Jewel if you will. Naturally, it boasts NASCAR’s biggest purse, this year to be in excess of $18 million dollars. In all, 43 drivers will be vying for the coveted trip to victory lane, hoping to add their name to Daytona 500 lore, joining an impressive winner’s list that includes the likes of Petty, Waltrip, Allison, Elliott, Gordon, and Earnhardt.

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