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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Martin Truex 96.75
2 Denny Hamlin 86.97
3 Kyle Busch 65.69
4 Kevin Harvick 65.17
5 Chase Elliott 48.62
6 Matt Kenseth 40.34
7 Brad Keselowski 14.48
8 Ryan Newman 13.85
9 Erik Jones 11.65
10 Jamie McMurray 11.23
11 Daniel Suarez 10.5
12 Kyle Larson 9.55
  Kurt Busch 9.55
14 Joey Logano 8.51
15 Ryan Blaney 8.4
16 Clint Bowyer 6.62
17 Austin Dillon 5.47
18 Jimmie Johnson 4.31
19 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 3.94
20 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.85
21 Paul Menard 3.82
22 Aric Almirola 3.3
23 Chris Buescher 2.86
24 Kasey Kahne 2.75
25 Trevor Bayne 2.68
26 Michael McDowell 2.6
27 Ty Dillon 2.46
28 AJ Allmendinger 2.4
29 Danica Patrick 2.27
30 Hermie Sadler 2.26
  Boris Said 2.26
  Bubba Wallace 2.26
  Billy Johnson 2.26
  Stephen Leicht 2.26
  Gary Klutt 2.26
36 David Ragan 0.88
37 Corey Lajoie 0.7
38 Timmy Hill 0.69
39 Gray Gaulding 0.69
40 Ryan Sieg 0.68
41 Reed Sorenson 0.68
42 Joey Gase 0.67
43 Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  Ross Chastain 0.67
  Alon Day 0.67
  Ray Black II 0.67
  DJ Kennington 0.67
  Carl Long 0.67
  Justin Marks 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Regan Tommy 0.67
  Elliott Sadler 0.67
  Kyle Weatherman 0.67
  Mark Thompson 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
56 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.66
57 Brett Moffitt 0.66
58 Derrike Cope 0.65
59 Landon Cassill 0.56
60 Matt DiBenedetto 0.49
61 Cole Whitt 0.23