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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 155.1
2 Joey Logano 89.09
3 Kurt Busch 76.21
4 Denny Hamlin 54.47
5 Martin Truex 44.26
6 Brad Keselowski 36.78
7 Kevin Harvick 30.65
8 Chase Elliott 27.93
9 Bowman Alex 21.81
10 Aric Almirola 21.12
11 Ryan Newman 17.04
12 Jimmie Johnson 14.18
13 William Byron 12.8
14 Erik Jones 12.25
15 Jamie McMurray 12.12
16 Daniel Suarez 11.56
17 Clint Bowyer 10.04
18 Kyle Larson 9.49
19 Ryan Blaney 9.35
20 Paul Menard 7.97
21 Chris Buescher 4.66
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.95
23 Austin Dillon 3.12
24 Ty Dillon 2.62
25 Daniel Hemric 2.52
26 Brendan Gaughan 2.26
  Casey Mears 2.26
  Tyler Reddick 2.26
29 Matt DiBenedetto 2.17
30 Ryan Preece 1.5
31 Corey Lajoie 0.9
32 Michael McDowell 0.83
33 Bubba Wallace 0.75
34 David Ragan 0.73
35 Landon Cassill 0.7
36 Currey Bayley 0.68
37 Reed Sorenson 0.68
38 BJ McLeod 0.68
39 Quin Houff 0.67
40 DJ Kennington 0.67
  Gray Gaulding 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
  Timmy Hill 0.67
  Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.67
  Jeb Burton 0.67
  Stanton Barrett 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  Kyle Weatherman 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
51 Joey Gase 0.66
52 Cody Ware 0.65
53 Matt Tifft 0.56
54 Parker Kligerman 0.54
55 Ross Chastain 0.38