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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 146.51
2 Joey Logano 124.08
3 Kevin Harvick 85.33
4 Matt Kenseth 66.72
5 Clint Bowyer 57.24
6 Martin Truex 48.62
7 Denny Hamlin 46.89
8 Aric Almirola 40.86
9 Kurt Busch 33.1
10 Brad Keselowski 22.76
11 Kyle Larson 21.03
12 Chase Elliott 20.17
13 Ryan Blaney 12.21
14 Jimmie Johnson 11.16
15 Bowman Alex 10.11
16 Erik Jones 6.62
17 Paul Menard 5.05
18 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 4
19 Austin Dillon 3.81
20 Daniel Suarez 3.57
  Jamie McMurray 3.57
22 William Byron 3.14
23 Ryan Newman 2.56
24 AJ Allmendinger 2.53
25 Bubba Wallace 2.47
26 Brendan Gaughan 2.26
  David Gilliland 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  Justin Marks 2.26
30 Chris Buescher 2.01
31 David Ragan 1.96
32 Kasey Kahne 1.44
33 Michael McDowell 1.16
34 Trevor Bayne 1.14
35 Ty Dillon 1.14
36 Gray Gaulding 0.7
37 Corey Lajoie 0.69
38 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.69
39 Harrison Rhodes 0.67
40 Reed Sorenson 0.67
41 JJ Yeley 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Mark Thompson 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Danica Patrick 0.67
  Timothy Peters 0.67
  Chad Finchum 0.67
  Joey Gase 0.67
  Cole Custer 0.67
  BJ McLeod 0.67
  Timmy Hill 0.67
  Parker Kligerman 0.67
53 Cole Whitt 0.63
54 Matt DiBenedetto 0.59
55 DJ Kennington 0.52
56 Ross Chastain 0.49
57 Landon Cassill 0.33