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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 254.91
2 Kevin Harvick 132.68
3 Denny Hamlin 106.46
4 Martin Truex 95.53
5 Brad Keselowski 88.98
6 Joey Logano 84.61
7 Kurt Busch 54.71
8 Chase Elliott 52.87
9 Aric Almirola 31.62
10 Austin Dillon 13.69
11 Ryan Newman 13.51
12 Jimmie Johnson 13.13
13 Clint Bowyer 12.38
14 Erik Jones 10.33
15 Kyle Larson 9.95
16 Jamie McMurray 8.89
17 Ryan Blaney 8.08
18 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 4.34
19 Daniel Suarez 3.76
20 Bowman Alex 3.7
21 Paul Menard 3.63
22 Chris Buescher 3.37
23 Ty Dillon 3.34
24 William Byron 3.3
25 Casey Mears 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
  Tyler Reddick 2.26
28 Ryan Preece 1.8
29 David Ragan 1.76
30 Bubba Wallace 1.15
31 Matt DiBenedetto 1.12
32 Landon Cassill 0.7
33 BJ McLeod 0.68
34 Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.67
  Jeb Burton 0.67
  Currey Bayley 0.67
  Gray Gaulding 0.67
  DJ Kennington 0.67
  Quin Houff 0.67
42 Cody Ware 0.66
43 Reed Sorenson 0.65
44 Michael McDowell 0.65
45 Joey Gase 0.64
46 Daniel Hemric 0.64
47 Timmy Hill 0.62
48 Parker Kligerman 0.58
49 Matt Tifft 0.42
50 Regan Smith 0.34
51 Ross Chastain 0.3
52 Corey Lajoie 0.2