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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Joey Logano 202.29
2 Kevin Harvick 161.42
3 Ryan Newman 49.81
4 Brad Keselowski 41.85
5 Kyle Larson 26.94
6 Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 22.96
7 Denny Hamlin 15
8 Jeff Gordon 13.39
9 Matt Kenseth 13.19
10 Jimmie Johnson 12.18
11 Martin Truex 10.77
12 Kyle Busch 10
13 Jamie McMurray 9.56
14 Carl Edwards 7.95
15 Kurt Busch 6.19
16 AJ Allmendinger 4.73
17 Clint Bowyer 3.77
18 Greg Biffle 3.6
19 Kasey Kahne 3.49
20 Paul Menard 3.42
21 Austin Dillon 3.38
22 Aric Almirola 2.29
23 Sam Hornish, Jr. 2.26
  Michael Waltrip 2.26
25 Danica Patrick 2.12
26 Tony Stewart 1.85
27 Casey Mears 1.63
28 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.51
29 Justin Allgaier 0.82
30 Michael McDowell 0.69
31 Trevor Bayne 0.68
32 Bowman Alex 0.67
33 Matt DiBenedetto 0.67
  Ryan Blaney 0.67
  Jeb Burton 0.67
  Bobby Labonte 0.67
  Ron Hornaday 0.67
  Scott Brian 0.67
39 Josh Wise 0.65
40 Mike Wallace 0.65
41 JJ Yeley 0.63
42 Mike Bliss 0.62
43 David Gilliland 0.49
44 David Ragan 0.47
45 Reed Sorenson 0.45
46 Cole Whitt 0.43
47 Landon Cassill 0.33
48 Michael Annett 0.2