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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 176.15
2 Brad Keselowski 109.3
3 Denny Hamlin 68
4 Kurt Busch 48.62
5 Aric Almirola 39.57
6 Chase Elliott 21.47
7 Martin Truex 15.65
8 Ryan Blaney 14.87
9 Joey Logano 13.82
10 Kyle Busch 12.25
11 Kyle Larson 12.12
12 Clint Bowyer 11.99
13 Matt DiBenedetto 11.73
14 Tyler Reddick 8.19
15 Austin Dillon 7.93
16 Erik Jones 7.28
17 Bowman Alex 7.14
18 Jimmie Johnson 6.18
19 William Byron 5.57
20 Ryan Newman 3.63
21 Michael McDowell 3.52
22 Cole Custer 3.49
23 Chris Buescher 3.22
24 Bubba Wallace 3.17
25 Christopher Bell 3.01
26 Matt Kenseth 2.89
27 John Hunter Nemechek 2.78
28 Ross Chastain 2.41
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2.32
30 Ty Dillon 2.01
31 Corey Lajoie 1.4
32 Daniel Suarez 0.73
33 Quin Houff 0.68
34 Josh Bilicki 0.68
35 Reed Sorenson 0.67
36 Joey Gase 0.67
37 Garrett Smithley 0.67
38 David Starr 0.67
  David Ragan 0.67
  Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  James Davison 0.67
  Currey Bayley 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
44 Timmy Hill 0.66
45 BJ McLeod 0.65
46 Ryan Preece 0.59
47 Gray Gaulding 0.25
48 JJ Yeley 0.23
49 Brennan Poole 0.22