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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 141.42
2 Denny Hamlin 92.66
3 Brad Keselowski 80.24
4 Martin Truex 65.51
5 Chase Elliott 47.73
6 Joey Logano 39.24
7 Kurt Busch 27.53
8 Aric Almirola 26.72
9 Ryan Blaney 22.68
10 Kyle Busch 16.62
11 Bowman Alex 12.55
12 Clint Bowyer 12.14
13 Matt DiBenedetto 12.06
14 Erik Jones 11.16
15 William Byron 11.07
16 Austin Dillon 10.27
17 Tyler Reddick 7.47
18 Jimmie Johnson 5.54
19 Cole Custer 3.62
20 Christopher Bell 3.56
21 Ryan Newman 3.01
22 Chris Buescher 2.97
23 Michael McDowell 2.81
24 Matt Kenseth 2.54
25 Bubba Wallace 2.43
26 Ty Dillon 2.17
27 John Hunter Nemechek 2.03
28 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.69
29 Ryan Preece 1.51
30 Quin Houff 0.69
31 JJ Yeley 0.69
32 Josh Bilicki 0.67
33 Timmy Hill 0.67
34 Garrett Smithley 0.67
35 David Starr 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
  Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  Chad Finchum 0.67
  Ross Chastain 0.67
  Currey Bayley 0.67
41 Reed Sorenson 0.66
42 Joey Gase 0.66
43 James Davison 0.66
44 BJ McLeod 0.66
45 Corey Lajoie 0.64
46 Daniel Suarez 0.61
47 Gray Gaulding 0.32
48 Brennan Poole 0.22