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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 99.52
2 Kyle Busch 67.84
3 Kurt Busch 66.72
4 Martin Truex 56.04
5 Chase Elliott 54.35
6 Joey Logano 43.11
7 Kyle Larson 35.24
8 Denny Hamlin 34.68
9 Erik Jones 22.87
10 Aric Almirola 20.62
11 Clint Bowyer 15.56
12 Brad Keselowski 14.55
13 Ryan Blaney 10.33
14 Jimmie Johnson 9.42
15 Daniel Suarez 9.31
16 Bowman Alex 6.8
17 Regan Smith 4.09
18 Ryan Newman 3.87
19 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.73
20 Austin Dillon 3.71
21 Paul Menard 3.65
22 Jamie McMurray 3.51
23 Chris Buescher 2.67
24 Matt Kenseth 2.33
25 Kasey Kahne 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
  Chris Cook 2.26
  Justin Marks 2.26
  Harrison Rhodes 2.26
31 AJ Allmendinger 2.04
32 William Byron 1.9
33 Trevor Bayne 1.7
34 David Ragan 1.65
35 Michael McDowell 1.35
  Ty Dillon 1.35
37 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.7
38 Corey Lajoie 0.7
39 Reed Sorenson 0.68
40 Gray Gaulding 0.68
41 BJ McLeod 0.67
42 Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Jesse Little 0.67
  Timothy Peters 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Kyle Weatherman 0.67
  Spencer Gallagher 0.67
  Tomy Drissi 0.67
  Blake Jones 0.67
  DJ Kennington 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  Ray Black II 0.67
  Stanton Barrett 0.67
  Derrike Cope 0.67
  Cole Custer 0.67
  Alon Day 0.67
59 Timmy Hill 0.65
60 Bubba Wallace 0.64
61 Ross Chastain 0.56
62 Matt DiBenedetto 0.55
63 Cole Whitt 0.4
64 Joey Gase 0.32
65 JJ Yeley 0.21
66 Landon Cassill 0.21