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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 213.46
2 Denny Hamlin 64.87
3 Ryan Blaney 60.26
4 Martin Truex 55.64
5 Joey Logano 47.33
6 Clint Bowyer 41.78
7 Kyle Busch 14.44
8 Kyle Larson 14.26
9 Austin Dillon 13.13
10 Matt DiBenedetto 12.76
11 Ryan Newman 11.17
12 Brad Keselowski 9.95
13 Bowman Alex 9.58
14 Chris Buescher 6.21
15 Aric Almirola 6.02
16 William Byron 4.9
17 Chase Elliott 3.86
18 Kurt Busch 3.83
19 Ty Dillon 3.47
20 Daniel Suarez 3.31
21 Jimmie Johnson 3.3
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.2
23 Bubba Wallace 3.11
24 Erik Jones 2.81
25 John Hunter Nemechek 2.62
26 Cole Custer 2.26
  Christopher Bell 2.26
  Tyler Reddick 2.26
29 Michael McDowell 1.94
30 Ryan Preece 1.79
31 David Ragan 1.28
32 Corey Lajoie 1.09
33 BJ McLeod 0.68
34 Reed Sorenson 0.67
35 Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Brennan Poole 0.67
  Quin Houff 0.67
  Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
40 Joey Gase 0.66
  Timmy Hill 0.66
42 Ross Chastain 0.51
43 JJ Yeley 0.24