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Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 William Byron 72.59
2 Martin Truex 70.04
3 Kyle Larson 49.48
4 Chase Elliott 44.09
5 Ryan Blaney 36.55
6 Ross Chastain 35.47
7 Ty Gibbs 27.93
8 Chris Buescher 25.77
9 Denny Hamlin 17.16
10 Chase Briscoe 14.35
11 Tyler Reddick 13.26
12 Bubba Wallace 11.07
13 Alex Bowman 9.98
14 Joey Logano 8.67
15 Brad Keselowski 6.91
16 Ryan Preece 3.98
17 Noah Gragson 3.91
18 Kyle Busch 3.9
19 Christopher Bell 3.86
20 AJ Allmendinger 3.63
  Daniel Suarez 3.63
22 Erik Jones 2.75
23 Carson Hocevar 2.45
24 Kamui Kobayashi 2.26
  David Ragan 2.26
  Shane Van Gisbergen 2.26
27 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2.16
  Todd Gilliland 2.16
29 Michael McDowell 1.95
30 John Hunter Nemechek 1.85
31 Austin Cindric 1.78
32 Daniel Hemric 1.73
33 Josh Berry 1.64
34 Austin Dillon 1.47
35 Corey Lajoie 1.44
36 Derek Kraus 0.67
  BJ McLeod 0.67
  Riley Herbst 0.67
  Austin Hill 0.67
  Timmy Hill 0.67
  Jimmie Johnson 0.67
  Ty Dillon 0.67
  Anthony Alfredo 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Josh Williams 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
48 Harrison Burton 0.65
49 Kaz Grala 0.56
50 Justin Haley 0.48
51 Zane Smith 0.33