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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kyle Busch 119.75
2 Kevin Harvick 85.33
3 Martin Truex 70.04
4 Chase Elliott 52.17
5 Kurt Busch 46.79
6 Kyle Larson 41.94
7 Brad Keselowski 37.09
8 Joey Logano 33.86
9 Erik Jones 29.55
10 Aric Almirola 29.01
11 Denny Hamlin 18.77
12 Ryan Blaney 12.6
13 Clint Bowyer 11.62
14 Ryan Newman 9.87
15 Jimmie Johnson 7.69
16 Austin Dillon 6.93
17 Jamie McMurray 5.29
18 Bowman Alex 5.18
19 Daniel Suarez 3.78
20 Matt Kenseth 3.76
21 Paul Menard 3.5
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.23
23 Chris Buescher 3.04
24 AJ Allmendinger 2.67
25 Chris Cook 2.26
  Daniel Hemric 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
  Harrison Rhodes 2.26
  Hermie Sadler 2.26
  Justin Marks 2.26
31 Kasey Kahne 2.13
32 Regan Smith 1.85
  Trevor Bayne 1.85
34 David Ragan 1.68
35 Ty Dillon 1.66
36 William Byron 1.64
37 Michael McDowell 1.42
38 Landon Cassill 0.7
39 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.69
40 JJ Yeley 0.69
41 Corey Lajoie 0.69
42 Joey Gase 0.68
43 Reed Sorenson 0.68
44 Kyle Weatherman 0.68
45 BJ McLeod 0.67
46 Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Jesse Little 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Garrett Smithley 0.67
  Blake Jones 0.67
  Tomy Drissi 0.67
  Spencer Gallagher 0.67
  Derrike Cope 0.67
  Cole Custer 0.67
  Alon Day 0.67
  Jeb Burton 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Josh Bilicki 0.67
  Ray Black II 0.67
  Stanton Barrett 0.67
62 Gray Gaulding 0.66
63 Timmy Hill 0.64
64 Bubba Wallace 0.64
65 DJ Kennington 0.56
66 Cole Whitt 0.44
67 Ross Chastain 0.43
68 Matt DiBenedetto 0.4