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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Joey Logano 123.77
2 Kyle Busch 90.82
3 Brad Keselowski 74.35
4 Kyle Larson 54.78
5 Kevin Harvick 47.82
6 Denny Hamlin 45.83
7 Aric Almirola 41.85
8 Chase Elliott 37.88
9 Kurt Busch 23.95
10 Martin Truex 19.97
11 Erik Jones 14.6
12 Ryan Newman 14
13 Daniel Hemric 12.12
14 Ryan Blaney 10.97
15 Austin Dillon 10.57
16 Jimmie Johnson 6.74
17 Jamie McMurray 6.34
18 Clint Bowyer 3.98
19 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 3.53
20 Bowman Alex 3.1
21 Paul Menard 2.96
22 Chris Buescher 2.61
23 Ty Dillon 2.5
  Daniel Suarez 2.5
25 Matt Tifft 2.26
  Casey Mears 2.26
  Ryan Preece 2.26
  Tyler Reddick 2.26
  Brendan Gaughan 2.26
30 Regan Smith 1.85
31 David Ragan 1.75
32 Michael McDowell 1.69
33 William Byron 0.84
34 BJ McLeod 0.7
35 Jeffrey Earnhardt 0.68
36 Joey Gase 0.67
37 Cole Custer 0.67
  Tanner Berryhill 0.67
  Harrison Rhodes 0.67
  Parker Kligerman 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
42 Ross Chastain 0.48
43 Bubba Wallace 0.47
44 Matt DiBenedetto 0.35
45 Landon Cassill 0.33
46 Corey Lajoie 0.32