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The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping


Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Kevin Harvick 154.53
2 Denny Hamlin 95.53
3 Martin Truex 66.72
4 Brad Keselowski 63.03
5 Chase Elliott 39.47
6 Kurt Busch 32.09
7 Aric Almirola 28.39
8 Joey Logano 24.7
9 Ryan Blaney 13.32
10 Kyle Busch 12.57
  Clint Bowyer 12.57
12 Erik Jones 12.38
13 William Byron 11.35
14 Austin Dillon 10.25
15 Matt DiBenedetto 9.95
16 Bowman Alex 9.76
17 Tyler Reddick 8.92
18 Jimmie Johnson 8.6
19 Cole Custer 3.5
20 Chris Buescher 3.48
21 Matt Kenseth 3.07
22 Christopher Bell 3.04
  Ryan Newman 3.04
24 Michael McDowell 3.02
25 Bubba Wallace 2.52
26 Ty Dillon 2.11
27 John Hunter Nemechek 2.04
28 Ryan Preece 1.58
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.42
30 Quin Houff 0.7
31 JJ Yeley 0.69
32 Garrett Smithley 0.67
33 Josh Bilicki 0.67
34 Corey Lajoie 0.67
35 Joey Gase 0.67
36 Timmy Hill 0.67
37 Reed Sorenson 0.67
38 David Starr 0.67
  Brendan Gaughan 0.67
  Justin Haley 0.67
  Ross Chastain 0.67
  Currey Bayley 0.67
  Chad Finchum 0.67
44 James Davison 0.66
45 BJ McLeod 0.66
46 Daniel Suarez 0.63
47 Gray Gaulding 0.32
48 Brennan Poole 0.24