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Driver Ratings

StatFox Driver Ratings are based on a weighted combination of 3 factors. The first is the drivers finishing position in recent races. The second factor is the driver's average qualifying position in recent races. Finally, the drivers ability to finish the race (DNF index) is factored. To calculate hypothetical race odds, determine the sum of the ratings of all drivers participating in a race. A driver's odds of winning are approximately equal to their rating divided by the sum of ratings of all participants.


RankDriverRating
1 Chase Elliott 69.65
2 Martin Truex 64.73
3 Ty Gibbs 35.89
4 William Byron 34.89
5 Kyle Larson 32.9
6 Denny Hamlin 31.91
  Alex Bowman 31.91
8 Ross Chastain 20.97
9 Chase Briscoe 13.79
10 Tyler Reddick 13.19
11 Chris Buescher 12.59
12 Brad Keselowski 11.98
13 Ryan Blaney 11.38
14 Kyle Busch 9.76
15 Noah Gragson 8.76
16 Bubba Wallace 7.14
17 Christopher Bell 4.93
18 Joey Logano 3.7
19 Daniel Suarez 3.45
20 Ryan Preece 2.92
  Josh Berry 2.92
22 Erik Jones 2.8
23 Carson Hocevar 2.43
24 AJ Allmendinger 2.26
  David Ragan 2.26
  Kamui Kobayashi 2.26
  Shane Van Gisbergen 2.26
28 Todd Gilliland 2.23
29 John Hunter Nemechek 2.01
30 Michael McDowell 1.97
31 Corey Lajoie 1.88
32 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.85
33 Daniel Hemric 1.66
34 Austin Cindric 1.63
35 Justin Haley 1.09
36 Austin Dillon 0.81
37 Ty Dillon 0.67
  Anthony Alfredo 0.67
  Jimmie Johnson 0.67
  BJ McLeod 0.67
  Riley Herbst 0.67
  Austin Hill 0.67
  Timmy Hill 0.67
  Corey Heim 0.67
  David Starr 0.67
  Cody Ware 0.67
  Josh Williams 0.67
  JJ Yeley 0.67
  Derek Kraus 0.67
50 Kaz Grala 0.63
51 Harrison Burton 0.49
52 Zane Smith 0.32